Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC place Tel Aviv's overnight minimum on August 21 near 25–28 °C under clear skies and light northerly flow, consistent with the market's heaviest weighting on 27 °C at 58 %. Typical August radiative cooling over the coastal plain is limited by Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures near 29 °C and modest humidity, which together set a climatological floor around 24–26 °C; the absence of any incoming trough or increased cloud cover has kept model runs clustered in this narrow band. Traders appear to be discounting outlier cooler scenarios because recent observational trends show no departure from seasonal norms, leaving the 21 °C-or-below outcome at 37.5 % as a low-probability tail driven mainly by model spread rather than emerging data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 21?
21°C or below 75%
23°C 59%
22°C 58%
26°C 34%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 21, 2026
21°C or below
75%
22°C
58%
23°C
59%
24°C
34%
25°C
34%
26°C
34%
27°C
58%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
1%
21°C or below 75%
23°C 59%
22°C 58%
26°C 34%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 21, 2026
21°C or below
$151 KL.
75%
22°C
$145 KL.
58%
23°C
$144 KL.
59%
24°C
$39 KL.
34%
25°C
$39 KL.
34%
26°C
$0 KL.
34%
27°C
$20 KL.
58%
28°C
$129 KL.
<1%
29°C
$266 KL.
<1%
30°C
$346 KL.
<1%
31°C or higher
$379 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC place Tel Aviv's overnight minimum on August 21 near 25–28 °C under clear skies and light northerly flow, consistent with the market's heaviest weighting on 27 °C at 58 %. Typical August radiative cooling over the coastal plain is limited by Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures near 29 °C and modest humidity, which together set a climatological floor around 24–26 °C; the absence of any incoming trough or increased cloud cover has kept model runs clustered in this narrow band. Traders appear to be discounting outlier cooler scenarios because recent observational trends show no departure from seasonal norms, leaving the 21 °C-or-below outcome at 37.5 % as a low-probability tail driven mainly by model spread rather than emerging data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,659Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC place Tel Aviv's overnight minimum on August 21 near 25–28 °C under clear skies and light northerly flow, consistent with the market's heaviest weighting on 27 °C at 58 %. Typical August radiative cooling over the coastal plain is limited by Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures near 29 °C and modest humidity, which together set a climatological floor around 24–26 °C; the absence of any incoming trough or increased cloud cover has kept model runs clustered in this narrow band. Traders appear to be discounting outlier cooler scenarios because recent observational trends show no departure from seasonal norms, leaving the 21 °C-or-below outcome at 37.5 % as a low-probability tail driven mainly by model spread rather than emerging data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,659Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC place Tel Aviv's overnight minimum on August 21 near 25–28 °C under clear skies and light northerly flow, consistent with the market's heaviest weighting on 27 °C at 58 %. Typical August radiative cooling over the coastal plain is limited by Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures near 29 °C and modest humidity, which together set a climatological floor around 24–26 °C; the absence of any incoming trough or increased cloud cover has kept model runs clustered in this narrow band. Traders appear to be discounting outlier cooler scenarios because recent observational trends show no departure from seasonal norms, leaving the 21 °C-or-below outcome at 37.5 % as a low-probability tail driven mainly by model spread rather than emerging data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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