Forecast models from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service and international sources indicate a likely minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on August 22 between 26–27°C under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions, with daytime highs near 32°C. Trader sentiment remains closely divided because coastal radiative cooling at night depends on variables such as wind speed from the Mediterranean Sea, humidity levels near 70–80%, and any residual cloud cover that reduces overnight heat loss. Clear, calm conditions favor lower readings near 24–25°C through enhanced longwave radiation, while stronger sea breezes or elevated sea-surface temperatures sustain warmer minima closer to 28°C. Recent regional heat patterns and limited precipitation have kept baseline temperatures above historical August averages, creating genuine uncertainty around the precise overnight low that will determine market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 22?
22°C or below 61%
27°C 30%
26°C 29%
28°C 28%
22°C or below
61%
23°C
3%
24°C
27%
25°C
27%
26°C
29%
27°C
30%
28°C
28%
29°C
5%
30°C
3%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
26%
22°C or below 61%
27°C 30%
26°C 29%
28°C 28%
22°C or below
61%
23°C
3%
24°C
27%
25°C
27%
26°C
29%
27°C
30%
28°C
28%
29°C
5%
30°C
3%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
26%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service and international sources indicate a likely minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on August 22 between 26–27°C under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions, with daytime highs near 32°C. Trader sentiment remains closely divided because coastal radiative cooling at night depends on variables such as wind speed from the Mediterranean Sea, humidity levels near 70–80%, and any residual cloud cover that reduces overnight heat loss. Clear, calm conditions favor lower readings near 24–25°C through enhanced longwave radiation, while stronger sea breezes or elevated sea-surface temperatures sustain warmer minima closer to 28°C. Recent regional heat patterns and limited precipitation have kept baseline temperatures above historical August averages, creating genuine uncertainty around the precise overnight low that will determine market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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