Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and major models align closely with Tokyo’s August climatological minimum of 23.9–24°C, producing strong trader consensus around 24°C as the day’s lowest temperature. Persistent high pressure, typical summer humidity, and minimal overnight cooling from urban heat-island effects support this narrow range, while ensemble guidance shows little deviation expected through the overnight period. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected influx of cooler maritime air or significant rainfall that enhances evaporative cooling, shifting the observed low below 23°C—conditions not indicated in the latest model runs.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 5?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 5?
24°C 98.9%
23°C <1%
22°C <1%
20°C <1%
MỚI
$10,616 KL.
MỚI
$10,616 KL.
Aug 5, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
99%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 98.9%
23°C <1%
22°C <1%
20°C <1%
MỚI
$10,616 KL.
MỚI
$10,616 KL.
Aug 5, 2026
18°C or below
$297 KL.
<1%
19°C
$461 KL.
<1%
20°C
$600 KL.
<1%
21°C
$330 KL.
<1%
22°C
$1,955 KL.
1%
23°C
$1,659 KL.
1%
24°C
$2,319 KL.
99%
25°C
$1,247 KL.
<1%
26°C
$891 KL.
<1%
27°C
$497 KL.
<1%
28°C or higher
$359 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and major models align closely with Tokyo’s August climatological minimum of 23.9–24°C, producing strong trader consensus around 24°C as the day’s lowest temperature. Persistent high pressure, typical summer humidity, and minimal overnight cooling from urban heat-island effects support this narrow range, while ensemble guidance shows little deviation expected through the overnight period. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected influx of cooler maritime air or significant rainfall that enhances evaporative cooling, shifting the observed low below 23°C—conditions not indicated in the latest model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Khối lượng
$10,616Ngày kết thúc
Aug 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and major models align closely with Tokyo’s August climatological minimum of 23.9–24°C, producing strong trader consensus around 24°C as the day’s lowest temperature. Persistent high pressure, typical summer humidity, and minimal overnight cooling from urban heat-island effects support this narrow range, while ensemble guidance shows little deviation expected through the overnight period. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected influx of cooler maritime air or significant rainfall that enhances evaporative cooling, shifting the observed low below 23°C—conditions not indicated in the latest model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$10,616Ngày kết thúc
Aug 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and major models align closely with Tokyo’s August climatological minimum of 23.9–24°C, producing strong trader consensus around 24°C as the day’s lowest temperature. Persistent high pressure, typical summer humidity, and minimal overnight cooling from urban heat-island effects support this narrow range, while ensemble guidance shows little deviation expected through the overnight period. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected influx of cooler maritime air or significant rainfall that enhances evaporative cooling, shifting the observed low below 23°C—conditions not indicated in the latest model runs.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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