Current forecasts from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models point to a daily minimum temperature in Tokyo on September 15 centered near 22–23°C, driven by widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and elevated humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling. These conditions, tied to a passing low-pressure system and southerly flow, reduce the temperature drop compared to clear-sky scenarios, with precipitation expected to peak overnight and into the morning. Model consensus shows highs near 26–27°C and lows in the low 20s Celsius, though slight variations in storm timing, wind speed, or cloud thickness could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Trader consensus across closely matched outcomes at 22–24°C reflects this forecast uncertainty and the influence of local urban effects on official observations. Updated model runs and JMA briefings ahead of the overnight period represent key near-term data points.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Tokyo on September 15?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on September 15?
23°C 39%
22°C 31%
24°C 23%
25°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 15, 2026
19°C or below
4%
20°C
6%
21°C
6%
22°C
31%
23°C
39%
24°C
23%
25°C
8%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
23°C 39%
22°C 31%
24°C 23%
25°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 15, 2026
19°C or below
$10 KL.
4%
20°C
$30 KL.
6%
21°C
$31 KL.
6%
22°C
$251 KL.
31%
23°C
$125 KL.
39%
24°C
$331 KL.
23%
25°C
$31 KL.
8%
26°C
$10 KL.
2%
27°C
$10 KL.
2%
28°C
$10 KL.
1%
29°C or higher
$10 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models point to a daily minimum temperature in Tokyo on September 15 centered near 22–23°C, driven by widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and elevated humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling. These conditions, tied to a passing low-pressure system and southerly flow, reduce the temperature drop compared to clear-sky scenarios, with precipitation expected to peak overnight and into the morning. Model consensus shows highs near 26–27°C and lows in the low 20s Celsius, though slight variations in storm timing, wind speed, or cloud thickness could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Trader consensus across closely matched outcomes at 22–24°C reflects this forecast uncertainty and the influence of local urban effects on official observations. Updated model runs and JMA briefings ahead of the overnight period represent key near-term data points.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Khối lượng
$850Ngày kết thúc
Sep 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models point to a daily minimum temperature in Tokyo on September 15 centered near 22–23°C, driven by widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and elevated humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling. These conditions, tied to a passing low-pressure system and southerly flow, reduce the temperature drop compared to clear-sky scenarios, with precipitation expected to peak overnight and into the morning. Model consensus shows highs near 26–27°C and lows in the low 20s Celsius, though slight variations in storm timing, wind speed, or cloud thickness could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Trader consensus across closely matched outcomes at 22–24°C reflects this forecast uncertainty and the influence of local urban effects on official observations. Updated model runs and JMA briefings ahead of the overnight period represent key near-term data points.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$850Ngày kết thúc
Sep 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models point to a daily minimum temperature in Tokyo on September 15 centered near 22–23°C, driven by widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and elevated humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling. These conditions, tied to a passing low-pressure system and southerly flow, reduce the temperature drop compared to clear-sky scenarios, with precipitation expected to peak overnight and into the morning. Model consensus shows highs near 26–27°C and lows in the low 20s Celsius, though slight variations in storm timing, wind speed, or cloud thickness could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Trader consensus across closely matched outcomes at 22–24°C reflects this forecast uncertainty and the influence of local urban effects on official observations. Updated model runs and JMA briefings ahead of the overnight period represent key near-term data points.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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