Recent forecast models from sources like GFS indicate Warsaw's overnight low on September 15 will likely fall between 11–14°C under building high pressure, favoring radiative cooling as skies clear after daytime highs near 19–23°C. Light winds, high humidity near 90–100%, and possible fog formation overnight enhance heat loss from the surface, while September's climatological baseline minimum around 10°C provides context for the mild but variable conditions. Trader sentiment clusters around 10–12°C outcomes due to minor model disagreements on exact cloud cover and wind shifts, with lower tails reflecting potential for stronger cooling if clearing occurs earlier. Updated runs from monitoring agencies will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 15?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 15?
7°C or below 47%
17°C or higher 44%
16°C 38%
15°C 36%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 15, 2026
7°C or below
47%
8°C
18%
9°C
5%
10°C
26%
11°C
32%
12°C
25%
13°C
22%
14°C
18%
15°C
36%
16°C
38%
17°C or higher
44%
7°C or below 47%
17°C or higher 44%
16°C 38%
15°C 36%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 15, 2026
7°C or below
$67 KL.
47%
8°C
$10 KL.
18%
9°C
$97 KL.
5%
10°C
$0 KL.
26%
11°C
$0 KL.
32%
12°C
$0 KL.
25%
13°C
$0 KL.
22%
14°C
$0 KL.
18%
15°C
$10 KL.
36%
16°C
$10 KL.
38%
17°C or higher
$10 KL.
44%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like GFS indicate Warsaw's overnight low on September 15 will likely fall between 11–14°C under building high pressure, favoring radiative cooling as skies clear after daytime highs near 19–23°C. Light winds, high humidity near 90–100%, and possible fog formation overnight enhance heat loss from the surface, while September's climatological baseline minimum around 10°C provides context for the mild but variable conditions. Trader sentiment clusters around 10–12°C outcomes due to minor model disagreements on exact cloud cover and wind shifts, with lower tails reflecting potential for stronger cooling if clearing occurs earlier. Updated runs from monitoring agencies will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Khối lượng
$204Ngày kết thúc
Sep 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like GFS indicate Warsaw's overnight low on September 15 will likely fall between 11–14°C under building high pressure, favoring radiative cooling as skies clear after daytime highs near 19–23°C. Light winds, high humidity near 90–100%, and possible fog formation overnight enhance heat loss from the surface, while September's climatological baseline minimum around 10°C provides context for the mild but variable conditions. Trader sentiment clusters around 10–12°C outcomes due to minor model disagreements on exact cloud cover and wind shifts, with lower tails reflecting potential for stronger cooling if clearing occurs earlier. Updated runs from monitoring agencies will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$204Ngày kết thúc
Sep 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like GFS indicate Warsaw's overnight low on September 15 will likely fall between 11–14°C under building high pressure, favoring radiative cooling as skies clear after daytime highs near 19–23°C. Light winds, high humidity near 90–100%, and possible fog formation overnight enhance heat loss from the surface, while September's climatological baseline minimum around 10°C provides context for the mild but variable conditions. Trader sentiment clusters around 10–12°C outcomes due to minor model disagreements on exact cloud cover and wind shifts, with lower tails reflecting potential for stronger cooling if clearing occurs earlier. Updated runs from monitoring agencies will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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