Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Warsaw on September 14 around 13–15°C, driven by mild southerly flow under high pressure with light winds and variable cloud cover that limits strong radiative cooling overnight. This setup favors the market's leading outcomes near 13–15°C by maintaining above-average temperatures for mid-September, when historical lows typically range 8–12°C. Trader consensus on higher thresholds like 19°C or above reflects uncertainty in model spread and potential for clearer skies to allow further cooling, while lower bins remain discounted absent a cold-air intrusion. Fresh ensemble runs and official updates from agencies like the Polish Institute of Meteorology will refine probabilities ahead of the overnight minimum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 14?
19°C or higher 73%
12°C 40%
11°C 38%
9°C or below 37%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 14, 2026
9°C or below
37%
10°C
17%
11°C
38%
12°C
40%
13°C
26%
14°C
24%
15°C
23%
16°C
37%
17°C
16%
18°C
13%
19°C or higher
73%
19°C or higher 73%
12°C 40%
11°C 38%
9°C or below 37%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 14, 2026
9°C or below
$45 KL.
37%
10°C
$40 KL.
17%
11°C
$0 KL.
38%
12°C
$0 KL.
40%
13°C
$0 KL.
26%
14°C
$0 KL.
24%
15°C
$72 KL.
23%
16°C
$0 KL.
37%
17°C
$0 KL.
16%
18°C
$0 KL.
13%
19°C or higher
$0 KL.
73%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Warsaw on September 14 around 13–15°C, driven by mild southerly flow under high pressure with light winds and variable cloud cover that limits strong radiative cooling overnight. This setup favors the market's leading outcomes near 13–15°C by maintaining above-average temperatures for mid-September, when historical lows typically range 8–12°C. Trader consensus on higher thresholds like 19°C or above reflects uncertainty in model spread and potential for clearer skies to allow further cooling, while lower bins remain discounted absent a cold-air intrusion. Fresh ensemble runs and official updates from agencies like the Polish Institute of Meteorology will refine probabilities ahead of the overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$158Ngày kết thúc
Sep 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Warsaw on September 14 around 13–15°C, driven by mild southerly flow under high pressure with light winds and variable cloud cover that limits strong radiative cooling overnight. This setup favors the market's leading outcomes near 13–15°C by maintaining above-average temperatures for mid-September, when historical lows typically range 8–12°C. Trader consensus on higher thresholds like 19°C or above reflects uncertainty in model spread and potential for clearer skies to allow further cooling, while lower bins remain discounted absent a cold-air intrusion. Fresh ensemble runs and official updates from agencies like the Polish Institute of Meteorology will refine probabilities ahead of the overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$158Ngày kết thúc
Sep 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Warsaw on September 14 around 13–15°C, driven by mild southerly flow under high pressure with light winds and variable cloud cover that limits strong radiative cooling overnight. This setup favors the market's leading outcomes near 13–15°C by maintaining above-average temperatures for mid-September, when historical lows typically range 8–12°C. Trader consensus on higher thresholds like 19°C or above reflects uncertainty in model spread and potential for clearer skies to allow further cooling, while lower bins remain discounted absent a cold-air intrusion. Fresh ensemble runs and official updates from agencies like the Polish Institute of Meteorology will refine probabilities ahead of the overnight minimum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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