Michigan’s open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democratic incumbent Gary Peters, remains competitive yet tilted toward the eventual Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Trader consensus at 74.5 percent for a Democratic win reflects the party’s structural advantages in the state, including strong performance in recent Senate contests and a closely divided electorate where Democratic candidates have historically outperformed in high-turnout cycles. On the Republican side, former Representative Mike Rogers secured the nomination after his narrow 2024 loss, but recent primary polling shows the Democratic field—led by State Senator Mallory McMorrow, former health official Abdul El-Sayed, and Representative Haley Stevens—positioning a well-funded nominee to hold the seat. A May 2026 special election victory that preserved Democratic control of the state Senate further underscores the party’s organizational edge heading into the August 4 primary and general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMichigan Senate Election Winner
Michigan Senate Election Winner
$113,316 KL.
$113,316 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
75%
Republican
27%
$113,316 KL.
$113,316 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$81,766 KL.
75%
Republican
$31,550 KL.
27%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Michigan’s open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democratic incumbent Gary Peters, remains competitive yet tilted toward the eventual Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Trader consensus at 74.5 percent for a Democratic win reflects the party’s structural advantages in the state, including strong performance in recent Senate contests and a closely divided electorate where Democratic candidates have historically outperformed in high-turnout cycles. On the Republican side, former Representative Mike Rogers secured the nomination after his narrow 2024 loss, but recent primary polling shows the Democratic field—led by State Senator Mallory McMorrow, former health official Abdul El-Sayed, and Representative Haley Stevens—positioning a well-funded nominee to hold the seat. A May 2026 special election victory that preserved Democratic control of the state Senate further underscores the party’s organizational edge heading into the August 4 primary and general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Khối lượng
$113,316Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Michigan’s open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democratic incumbent Gary Peters, remains competitive yet tilted toward the eventual Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Trader consensus at 74.5 percent for a Democratic win reflects the party’s structural advantages in the state, including strong performance in recent Senate contests and a closely divided electorate where Democratic candidates have historically outperformed in high-turnout cycles. On the Republican side, former Representative Mike Rogers secured the nomination after his narrow 2024 loss, but recent primary polling shows the Democratic field—led by State Senator Mallory McMorrow, former health official Abdul El-Sayed, and Representative Haley Stevens—positioning a well-funded nominee to hold the seat. A May 2026 special election victory that preserved Democratic control of the state Senate further underscores the party’s organizational edge heading into the August 4 primary and general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$113,316Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan’s open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democratic incumbent Gary Peters, remains competitive yet tilted toward the eventual Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Trader consensus at 74.5 percent for a Democratic win reflects the party’s structural advantages in the state, including strong performance in recent Senate contests and a closely divided electorate where Democratic candidates have historically outperformed in high-turnout cycles. On the Republican side, former Representative Mike Rogers secured the nomination after his narrow 2024 loss, but recent primary polling shows the Democratic field—led by State Senator Mallory McMorrow, former health official Abdul El-Sayed, and Representative Haley Stevens—positioning a well-funded nominee to hold the seat. A May 2026 special election victory that preserved Democratic control of the state Senate further underscores the party’s organizational edge heading into the August 4 primary and general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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