Minnesota's Democratic lean and open Senate seat favor Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan after her August 11 primary win over Rep. Angie Craig with 59% of the vote. As the party's nominee with strong institutional support and name recognition from statewide office, Flanagan holds a commanding position heading into the November 3 general election against Republican nominee Michele Tafoya, who prevailed in her primary with 52%. Recent polling shows Flanagan ahead by 6-7 points, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the current 90.5% implied probability. Factors that could narrow the gap include shifts in turnout among key voting blocs, national political currents, or late developments on issues such as the economy and immigration.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMinnesota Senate Election Winner
Minnesota Senate Election Winner
$47,494 KL.
$47,494 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Peggy Flanagan (D)
91%
Michele Tafoya (R)
9%
$47,494 KL.
$47,494 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Peggy Flanagan (D)
$31,632 KL.
91%
Michele Tafoya (R)
$15,862 KL.
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's Democratic lean and open Senate seat favor Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan after her August 11 primary win over Rep. Angie Craig with 59% of the vote. As the party's nominee with strong institutional support and name recognition from statewide office, Flanagan holds a commanding position heading into the November 3 general election against Republican nominee Michele Tafoya, who prevailed in her primary with 52%. Recent polling shows Flanagan ahead by 6-7 points, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the current 90.5% implied probability. Factors that could narrow the gap include shifts in turnout among key voting blocs, national political currents, or late developments on issues such as the economy and immigration.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Khối lượng
$47,494Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's Democratic lean and open Senate seat favor Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan after her August 11 primary win over Rep. Angie Craig with 59% of the vote. As the party's nominee with strong institutional support and name recognition from statewide office, Flanagan holds a commanding position heading into the November 3 general election against Republican nominee Michele Tafoya, who prevailed in her primary with 52%. Recent polling shows Flanagan ahead by 6-7 points, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the current 90.5% implied probability. Factors that could narrow the gap include shifts in turnout among key voting blocs, national political currents, or late developments on issues such as the economy and immigration.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$47,494Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's Democratic lean and open Senate seat favor Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan after her August 11 primary win over Rep. Angie Craig with 59% of the vote. As the party's nominee with strong institutional support and name recognition from statewide office, Flanagan holds a commanding position heading into the November 3 general election against Republican nominee Michele Tafoya, who prevailed in her primary with 52%. Recent polling shows Flanagan ahead by 6-7 points, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the current 90.5% implied probability. Factors that could narrow the gap include shifts in turnout among key voting blocs, national political currents, or late developments on issues such as the economy and immigration.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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