Paul St-Pierre Plamondon of the Parti Québécois holds the highest implied probability in trader consensus for Quebec’s next premier due to the party’s sustained lead in recent voting intention surveys ahead of the October 5, 2026, general election. Recent polls from Léger and Pallas Data place the PQ at roughly 30 percent support, ahead of the Liberals under new leader Charles Milliard and the incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec under Premier Christine Fréchette, who succeeded François Legault in April 2026. Plamondon’s outreach to anglophone voters via an open letter in mid-August has aimed to expand the party’s base beyond its traditional francophone strength. Milliard and Fréchette trail in market pricing as their parties trail in aggregate polling, while minor-party leaders remain at negligible levels amid the three-way contest.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNext Premier of Quebec
Next Premier of Quebec
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 71%
Charles Milliard 16%
Christine Fréchette 13.3%
Sol Zanetti <1%
$243,225 KL.
$243,225 KL.
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon
71%
Charles Milliard
16%
Christine Fréchette
13%
Sol Zanetti
<1%
Bernard Drainville
<1%
Éric Duhaime
<1%
Ruba Ghazal
<1%
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 71%
Charles Milliard 16%
Christine Fréchette 13.3%
Sol Zanetti <1%
$243,225 KL.
$243,225 KL.
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon
71%
Charles Milliard
16%
Christine Fréchette
13%
Sol Zanetti
<1%
Bernard Drainville
<1%
Éric Duhaime
<1%
Ruba Ghazal
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Paul St-Pierre Plamondon of the Parti Québécois holds the highest implied probability in trader consensus for Quebec’s next premier due to the party’s sustained lead in recent voting intention surveys ahead of the October 5, 2026, general election. Recent polls from Léger and Pallas Data place the PQ at roughly 30 percent support, ahead of the Liberals under new leader Charles Milliard and the incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec under Premier Christine Fréchette, who succeeded François Legault in April 2026. Plamondon’s outreach to anglophone voters via an open letter in mid-August has aimed to expand the party’s base beyond its traditional francophone strength. Milliard and Fréchette trail in market pricing as their parties trail in aggregate polling, while minor-party leaders remain at negligible levels amid the three-way contest.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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