Google leads the market-implied odds for second-place Text Arena Math performance by end-September 2026, reflecting its recent Gemini model iterations that have demonstrated stronger reasoning on mathematical benchmarks through expanded context windows and specialized fine-tuning. Trader sentiment favors this positioning over Anthropic and OpenAI due to consistent third-party evaluations showing incremental gains in chain-of-thought accuracy and competition with frontier labs. Upcoming developer conferences and potential benchmark releases in the final weeks could still shift outcomes, though current capital-weighted consensus highlights Google's competitive edge in the math domain relative to peers.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtGoogle 72%
Anthropic 12.6%
OpenAI 10.5%
Meta 3.8%
$59,119 KL.
$59,119 KL.
Sep 30, 2026
72%
Anthropic
13%
OpenAI
11%
Meta
4%
Moonshot
1%
Z.ai
1%
Alibaba
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
Baidu
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Google 72%
Anthropic 12.6%
OpenAI 10.5%
Meta 3.8%
$59,119 KL.
$59,119 KL.
Sep 30, 2026
$18,996 KL.
72%
Anthropic
$7,663 KL.
13%
OpenAI
$6,968 KL.
11%
Meta
$1,542 KL.
4%
Moonshot
$1,764 KL.
1%
Z.ai
$1,712 KL.
1%
Alibaba
$5,764 KL.
1%
SpaceXAI
$1,255 KL.
1%
Baidu
$1,349 KL.
<1%
DeepSeek
$1,231 KL.
<1%
ByteDance
$1,467 KL.
<1%
Tencent
$1,227 KL.
<1%
Xiaomi
$1,653 KL.
<1%
Nvidia
$766 KL.
<1%
MiniMax
$1,063 KL.
<1%
Meituan
$1,044 KL.
<1%
Amazon
$951 KL.
<1%
Mistral
$1,228 KL.
<1%
StepFun
$566 KL.
<1%
Microsoft
$910 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google leads the market-implied odds for second-place Text Arena Math performance by end-September 2026, reflecting its recent Gemini model iterations that have demonstrated stronger reasoning on mathematical benchmarks through expanded context windows and specialized fine-tuning. Trader sentiment favors this positioning over Anthropic and OpenAI due to consistent third-party evaluations showing incremental gains in chain-of-thought accuracy and competition with frontier labs. Upcoming developer conferences and potential benchmark releases in the final weeks could still shift outcomes, though current capital-weighted consensus highlights Google's competitive edge in the math domain relative to peers.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Thị trường mở: Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
Khối lượng
$59,119Ngày kết thúc
Oct 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google leads the market-implied odds for second-place Text Arena Math performance by end-September 2026, reflecting its recent Gemini model iterations that have demonstrated stronger reasoning on mathematical benchmarks through expanded context windows and specialized fine-tuning. Trader sentiment favors this positioning over Anthropic and OpenAI due to consistent third-party evaluations showing incremental gains in chain-of-thought accuracy and competition with frontier labs. Upcoming developer conferences and potential benchmark releases in the final weeks could still shift outcomes, though current capital-weighted consensus highlights Google's competitive edge in the math domain relative to peers.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Khối lượng
$59,119Ngày kết thúc
Oct 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Google leads the market-implied odds for second-place Text Arena Math performance by end-September 2026, reflecting its recent Gemini model iterations that have demonstrated stronger reasoning on mathematical benchmarks through expanded context windows and specialized fine-tuning. Trader sentiment favors this positioning over Anthropic and OpenAI due to consistent third-party evaluations showing incremental gains in chain-of-thought accuracy and competition with frontier labs. Upcoming developer conferences and potential benchmark releases in the final weeks could still shift outcomes, though current capital-weighted consensus highlights Google's competitive edge in the math domain relative to peers.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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