Google's Gemini 3.7 and 3.8 Flash variants have secured consistent second-place positioning behind Anthropic's leading Claude Fable 5 and Opus 5 models on the arena.ai Text Arena Math leaderboard as of mid-September 2026, with strong human-preference scores in mathematical reasoning tasks. This gap reflects Anthropic's sustained edge from recent proprietary releases optimized for complex problem-solving, while Google's iterative Gemini updates and multimodal capabilities maintain competitive math benchmarks without overtaking the leader. Trader consensus at 77% implied probability for Google as second-best incorporates these stable rankings, recent voice and reasoning enhancements, and limited near-term catalysts before end-of-month resolution, though model updates or voting shifts could still influence final lab standings.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtGoogle 77%
Anthropic 11.8%
OpenAI 8.1%
Meta 3.3%
$59,262 KL.
$59,262 KL.
Sep 30, 2026
77%
Anthropic
12%
OpenAI
8%
Meta
3%
Moonshot
2%
Z.ai
1%
Alibaba
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
Baidu
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Google 77%
Anthropic 11.8%
OpenAI 8.1%
Meta 3.3%
$59,262 KL.
$59,262 KL.
Sep 30, 2026
$19,076 KL.
77%
Anthropic
$7,684 KL.
12%
OpenAI
$6,968 KL.
8%
Meta
$1,547 KL.
3%
Moonshot
$1,764 KL.
2%
Z.ai
$1,717 KL.
1%
Alibaba
$5,780 KL.
1%
SpaceXAI
$1,255 KL.
1%
Baidu
$1,349 KL.
<1%
DeepSeek
$1,236 KL.
<1%
ByteDance
$1,472 KL.
<1%
Tencent
$1,227 KL.
<1%
Xiaomi
$1,658 KL.
<1%
Nvidia
$766 KL.
<1%
MiniMax
$1,063 KL.
<1%
Meituan
$1,044 KL.
<1%
Amazon
$951 KL.
<1%
Mistral
$1,228 KL.
<1%
StepFun
$566 KL.
<1%
Microsoft
$910 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's Gemini 3.7 and 3.8 Flash variants have secured consistent second-place positioning behind Anthropic's leading Claude Fable 5 and Opus 5 models on the arena.ai Text Arena Math leaderboard as of mid-September 2026, with strong human-preference scores in mathematical reasoning tasks. This gap reflects Anthropic's sustained edge from recent proprietary releases optimized for complex problem-solving, while Google's iterative Gemini updates and multimodal capabilities maintain competitive math benchmarks without overtaking the leader. Trader consensus at 77% implied probability for Google as second-best incorporates these stable rankings, recent voice and reasoning enhancements, and limited near-term catalysts before end-of-month resolution, though model updates or voting shifts could still influence final lab standings.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Thị trường mở: Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
Khối lượng
$59,262Ngày kết thúc
Oct 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's Gemini 3.7 and 3.8 Flash variants have secured consistent second-place positioning behind Anthropic's leading Claude Fable 5 and Opus 5 models on the arena.ai Text Arena Math leaderboard as of mid-September 2026, with strong human-preference scores in mathematical reasoning tasks. This gap reflects Anthropic's sustained edge from recent proprietary releases optimized for complex problem-solving, while Google's iterative Gemini updates and multimodal capabilities maintain competitive math benchmarks without overtaking the leader. Trader consensus at 77% implied probability for Google as second-best incorporates these stable rankings, recent voice and reasoning enhancements, and limited near-term catalysts before end-of-month resolution, though model updates or voting shifts could still influence final lab standings.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Khối lượng
$59,262Ngày kết thúc
Oct 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Google's Gemini 3.7 and 3.8 Flash variants have secured consistent second-place positioning behind Anthropic's leading Claude Fable 5 and Opus 5 models on the arena.ai Text Arena Math leaderboard as of mid-September 2026, with strong human-preference scores in mathematical reasoning tasks. This gap reflects Anthropic's sustained edge from recent proprietary releases optimized for complex problem-solving, while Google's iterative Gemini updates and multimodal capabilities maintain competitive math benchmarks without overtaking the leader. Trader consensus at 77% implied probability for Google as second-best incorporates these stable rankings, recent voice and reasoning enhancements, and limited near-term catalysts before end-of-month resolution, though model updates or voting shifts could still influence final lab standings.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp