Everett Jackson's commanding 38% to Sholdon Daniels' 24% lead in the March 3 Republican primary for Texas's 30th Congressional District has solidified trader consensus favoring him at 83% implied probability to win the May 26 runoff, reflecting momentum from his first-round plurality amid a four-candidate field that eliminated Gregor Heise and Nils Walker. Walker's recent endorsement of Jackson further bolsters his position, channeling third-place support in this low-turnout contest typical of Texas primary runoffs. No major polls, endorsements, or campaign developments have emerged in the past 30 days to alter this dynamic, though late advertising surges or shifts in conservative voter enthusiasm could narrow the gap before early voting begins. Heise retains minor odds amid speculation of residual backing, while Walker fades.