Incumbent People Power Party candidate Kim Doo-gyeom holds a trader consensus edge at 57.5% implied probability for the June 3 Ulsan mayoral election, reflecting his slight lead in the May 4-5 poll (37.1% vs. Democratic Party challenger Kim Sang-wook's 32.9% in a five-way field), bolstered by vote fragmentation among progressives where Progressive Party's Kim Jong-hoon polled 14.2%. Recent deadlock in unification talks—progressive camps canceled a policy agreement while conservatives rebuffed independent Park Maeng-woo's overtures—threatens to split opposition votes further ahead of the May 15 registration deadline. Intensifying attack ads, with PPP targeting Kim Sang-wook's law firm history and DPK countering on Kim Doo-gyeom's private group ties, underscore a tight race within margin of error, yet incumbency and conservative base solidify his positioning over the closely trailing 42% for Kim Sang-wook.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtKim Doo-kyum 59%
Kim Sang-wook 42%
Kim Jong-hoon <1%
Park Maeng-woo <1%
$25,618 KL.
$25,618 KL.
Kim Doo-kyum
59%
Kim Sang-wook
42%
Kim Jong-hoon
1%
Park Maeng-woo
<1%
Kim Doo-kyum 59%
Kim Sang-wook 42%
Kim Jong-hoon <1%
Park Maeng-woo <1%
$25,618 KL.
$25,618 KL.
Kim Doo-kyum
59%
Kim Sang-wook
42%
Kim Jong-hoon
1%
Park Maeng-woo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Thị trường mở: Apr 23, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent People Power Party candidate Kim Doo-gyeom holds a trader consensus edge at 57.5% implied probability for the June 3 Ulsan mayoral election, reflecting his slight lead in the May 4-5 poll (37.1% vs. Democratic Party challenger Kim Sang-wook's 32.9% in a five-way field), bolstered by vote fragmentation among progressives where Progressive Party's Kim Jong-hoon polled 14.2%. Recent deadlock in unification talks—progressive camps canceled a policy agreement while conservatives rebuffed independent Park Maeng-woo's overtures—threatens to split opposition votes further ahead of the May 15 registration deadline. Intensifying attack ads, with PPP targeting Kim Sang-wook's law firm history and DPK countering on Kim Doo-gyeom's private group ties, underscore a tight race within margin of error, yet incumbency and conservative base solidify his positioning over the closely trailing 42% for Kim Sang-wook.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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