As of mid-2026, 157 of 193 UN member states recognize the State of Palestine, following a surge of diplomatic recognitions in September 2025 at the UN General Assembly by France, the United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, Belgium, Luxembourg, Malta, Portugal, and others—building on 2024 moves by Spain, Ireland, Norway, and Slovenia amid Israel's war in Gaza. Major holdouts like the United States, Germany, Italy, Japan, South Korea, and the Netherlands condition recognition on progress in Israeli-Palestinian negotiations toward a two-state solution, citing security concerns and historical alliances. No new recognitions have occurred in 2026, with trader consensus reflecting entrenched domestic politics and stalled peace talks; key watchpoints include US midterms in November 2026, European parliamentary shifts, and potential UN resolutions or summits before year-end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$624,976 KL.
Hoa Kỳ
6%
Ý
17%
The Netherlands
22%
Japan
17%
Đức
6%
Belgium
21%
Phần Lan
12%
Áo
1%
Greece
10%
New Zealand
20%
$624,976 KL.
Hoa Kỳ
6%
Ý
17%
The Netherlands
22%
Japan
17%
Đức
6%
Belgium
21%
Phần Lan
12%
Áo
1%
Greece
10%
New Zealand
20%
An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: Nov 5, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...As of mid-2026, 157 of 193 UN member states recognize the State of Palestine, following a surge of diplomatic recognitions in September 2025 at the UN General Assembly by France, the United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, Belgium, Luxembourg, Malta, Portugal, and others—building on 2024 moves by Spain, Ireland, Norway, and Slovenia amid Israel's war in Gaza. Major holdouts like the United States, Germany, Italy, Japan, South Korea, and the Netherlands condition recognition on progress in Israeli-Palestinian negotiations toward a two-state solution, citing security concerns and historical alliances. No new recognitions have occurred in 2026, with trader consensus reflecting entrenched domestic politics and stalled peace talks; key watchpoints include US midterms in November 2026, European parliamentary shifts, and potential UN resolutions or summits before year-end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp