Israel's President Isaac Herzog has signaled he will prioritize plea negotiations in Benjamin Netanyahu's long-running corruption trial before considering any pardon request, following the prime minister's November 2025 application and subsequent legal opinions that a pardon would be inappropriate absent conviction, resignation, or guilt admission. US President Donald Trump's earlier pressure on the matter has not altered the process. Trader prices reflect these procedural barriers and the absence of breakthrough developments since spring 2026, with the market assigning low implied probability to resolution by year-end. Ongoing court proceedings and any future plea talks remain the key variables that could shift positioning ahead of the December 31 cutoff.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$477,873 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
8%
$477,873 KL.
December 31
$6,855 KL.
8%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from the then-serving President of Israel for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Israel's President Isaac Herzog has signaled he will prioritize plea negotiations in Benjamin Netanyahu's long-running corruption trial before considering any pardon request, following the prime minister's November 2025 application and subsequent legal opinions that a pardon would be inappropriate absent conviction, resignation, or guilt admission. US President Donald Trump's earlier pressure on the matter has not altered the process. Trader prices reflect these procedural barriers and the absence of breakthrough developments since spring 2026, with the market assigning low implied probability to resolution by year-end. Ongoing court proceedings and any future plea talks remain the key variables that could shift positioning ahead of the December 31 cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from the then-serving President of Israel for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jun 30, 2026, 5:25 PM ET
Khối lượng
$477,873Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 30, 2026, 5:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from the then-serving President of Israel for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Israel's President Isaac Herzog has signaled he will prioritize plea negotiations in Benjamin Netanyahu's long-running corruption trial before considering any pardon request, following the prime minister's November 2025 application and subsequent legal opinions that a pardon would be inappropriate absent conviction, resignation, or guilt admission. US President Donald Trump's earlier pressure on the matter has not altered the process. Trader prices reflect these procedural barriers and the absence of breakthrough developments since spring 2026, with the market assigning low implied probability to resolution by year-end. Ongoing court proceedings and any future plea talks remain the key variables that could shift positioning ahead of the December 31 cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from the then-serving President of Israel for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Khối lượng
$477,873Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 30, 2026, 5:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israel's President Isaac Herzog has signaled he will prioritize plea negotiations in Benjamin Netanyahu's long-running corruption trial before considering any pardon request, following the prime minister's November 2025 application and subsequent legal opinions that a pardon would be inappropriate absent conviction, resignation, or guilt admission. US President Donald Trump's earlier pressure on the matter has not altered the process. Trader prices reflect these procedural barriers and the absence of breakthrough developments since spring 2026, with the market assigning low implied probability to resolution by year-end. Ongoing court proceedings and any future plea talks remain the key variables that could shift positioning ahead of the December 31 cutoff.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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