The Workers' Party's April 2026 national congress produced a manifesto explicitly centering President Lula's re-election bid for the October 2026 vote, with party president Edinho Silva committing to prioritize his candidacy and build alliances against right-wing opponents. Lula reinforced this direction by confirming Vice President Geraldo Alckmin as running mate in late March and urging party leaders to finalize an electoral strategy. These steps align with standard Brazilian party procedures ahead of the Superior Electoral Court candidate registration window near August 1, making formal nomination by the August 15 deadline a largely procedural step under current conditions. Trader consensus at 85.5% for Yes incorporates polling leads over potential rivals and the absence of major internal opposition or health setbacks in recent weeks, while leaving room for late shifts from unforeseen developments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$11,224 KL.
$11,224 KL.
Aug 15, 2026
$11,224 KL.
$11,224 KL.
Aug 15, 2026
The 2026 Brazil presidential election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. Political parties must file candidate registration applications with the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) for the 2026 Brazil presidential election by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Workers’ Party (Partido dos Trabalhadores, PT) files a candidate registration application nominating Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for President of Brazil by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A filing by a coalition (coligação) or party federation (federação partidária) that includes the PT and names Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva as its presidential candidate will also qualify.
This market will resolve based on the filing date (Data de Autuação) of an applicable Application for Registration of Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura, RRC). An Application for Registration of Individual Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura Individual, RRCI) will not qualify for resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official filings from the Superior Electoral Court (TSE); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Workers' Party's April 2026 national congress produced a manifesto explicitly centering President Lula's re-election bid for the October 2026 vote, with party president Edinho Silva committing to prioritize his candidacy and build alliances against right-wing opponents. Lula reinforced this direction by confirming Vice President Geraldo Alckmin as running mate in late March and urging party leaders to finalize an electoral strategy. These steps align with standard Brazilian party procedures ahead of the Superior Electoral Court candidate registration window near August 1, making formal nomination by the August 15 deadline a largely procedural step under current conditions. Trader consensus at 85.5% for Yes incorporates polling leads over potential rivals and the absence of major internal opposition or health setbacks in recent weeks, while leaving room for late shifts from unforeseen developments.
The 2026 Brazil presidential election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. Political parties must file candidate registration applications with the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) for the 2026 Brazil presidential election by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Workers’ Party (Partido dos Trabalhadores, PT) files a candidate registration application nominating Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for President of Brazil by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A filing by a coalition (coligação) or party federation (federação partidária) that includes the PT and names Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva as its presidential candidate will also qualify.
This market will resolve based on the filing date (Data de Autuação) of an applicable Application for Registration of Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura, RRC). An Application for Registration of Individual Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura Individual, RRCI) will not qualify for resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official filings from the Superior Electoral Court (TSE); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Workers’ Party (Partido dos Trabalhadores, PT) files a candidate registration application nominating Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for President of Brazil by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A filing by a coalition (coligação) or party federation (federação partidária) that includes the PT and names Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva as its presidential candidate will also qualify.
This market will resolve based on the filing date (Data de Autuação) of an applicable Application for Registration of Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura, RRC). An Application for Registration of Individual Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura Individual, RRCI) will not qualify for resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official filings from the Superior Electoral Court (TSE); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Apr 17, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Khối lượng
$11,224Ngày kết thúc
Aug 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 17, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 2026 Brazil presidential election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. Political parties must file candidate registration applications with the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) for the 2026 Brazil presidential election by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Workers’ Party (Partido dos Trabalhadores, PT) files a candidate registration application nominating Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for President of Brazil by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A filing by a coalition (coligação) or party federation (federação partidária) that includes the PT and names Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva as its presidential candidate will also qualify.
This market will resolve based on the filing date (Data de Autuação) of an applicable Application for Registration of Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura, RRC). An Application for Registration of Individual Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura Individual, RRCI) will not qualify for resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official filings from the Superior Electoral Court (TSE); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Workers' Party's April 2026 national congress produced a manifesto explicitly centering President Lula's re-election bid for the October 2026 vote, with party president Edinho Silva committing to prioritize his candidacy and build alliances against right-wing opponents. Lula reinforced this direction by confirming Vice President Geraldo Alckmin as running mate in late March and urging party leaders to finalize an electoral strategy. These steps align with standard Brazilian party procedures ahead of the Superior Electoral Court candidate registration window near August 1, making formal nomination by the August 15 deadline a largely procedural step under current conditions. Trader consensus at 85.5% for Yes incorporates polling leads over potential rivals and the absence of major internal opposition or health setbacks in recent weeks, while leaving room for late shifts from unforeseen developments.
The 2026 Brazil presidential election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. Political parties must file candidate registration applications with the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) for the 2026 Brazil presidential election by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Workers’ Party (Partido dos Trabalhadores, PT) files a candidate registration application nominating Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for President of Brazil by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A filing by a coalition (coligação) or party federation (federação partidária) that includes the PT and names Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva as its presidential candidate will also qualify.
This market will resolve based on the filing date (Data de Autuação) of an applicable Application for Registration of Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura, RRC). An Application for Registration of Individual Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura Individual, RRCI) will not qualify for resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official filings from the Superior Electoral Court (TSE); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Workers’ Party (Partido dos Trabalhadores, PT) files a candidate registration application nominating Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for President of Brazil by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A filing by a coalition (coligação) or party federation (federação partidária) that includes the PT and names Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva as its presidential candidate will also qualify.
This market will resolve based on the filing date (Data de Autuação) of an applicable Application for Registration of Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura, RRC). An Application for Registration of Individual Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura Individual, RRCI) will not qualify for resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official filings from the Superior Electoral Court (TSE); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$11,224Ngày kết thúc
Aug 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 17, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Workers' Party's April 2026 national congress produced a manifesto explicitly centering President Lula's re-election bid for the October 2026 vote, with party president Edinho Silva committing to prioritize his candidacy and build alliances against right-wing opponents. Lula reinforced this direction by confirming Vice President Geraldo Alckmin as running mate in late March and urging party leaders to finalize an electoral strategy. These steps align with standard Brazilian party procedures ahead of the Superior Electoral Court candidate registration window near August 1, making formal nomination by the August 15 deadline a largely procedural step under current conditions. Trader consensus at 85.5% for Yes incorporates polling leads over potential rivals and the absence of major internal opposition or health setbacks in recent weeks, while leaving room for late shifts from unforeseen developments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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