Recent developments in the 2026 midterm cycle, including a Democratic edge in generic congressional ballot polling and a measurable enthusiasm gap favoring Democratic voters, have kept projected House turnout levels clustered in the 115–130 million range. With all 435 seats contested amid ongoing primaries, redistricting adjustments in key states, and economic concerns shaping voter mobilization, traders see competing pressures from Republican structural advantages and Democratic efforts to boost participation among higher-propensity groups. Historical midterm patterns show turnout typically trails presidential years by 10–15 percentage points, yet competitive national conditions and early campaign intensity could sustain elevated participation closer to 2018 levels. Scheduled primaries through summer and fall legislative actions remain key variables that could shift the balance before November voting.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於1億3,000萬+ 26%
1億1500萬-1億2000萬 16%
1.25-1.3 億 14%
1億2千萬-1億2千5百萬 12%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
少於8,500萬
<1%
8,500萬-9,000萬
<1%
9,000萬-9,500萬
1%
9,500萬至1億
1%
1億到1億零5百萬
1%
1億500萬至1億1000萬
6%
1億1千萬至1億1千5百萬
11%
1億1500萬-1億2000萬
16%
1億2千萬-1億2千5百萬
23%
1.25-1.3 億
14%
1億3,000萬+
26%
1億3,000萬+ 26%
1億1500萬-1億2000萬 16%
1.25-1.3 億 14%
1億2千萬-1億2千5百萬 12%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
少於8,500萬
$324 交易量
<1%
8,500萬-9,000萬
$419 交易量
<1%
9,000萬-9,500萬
$1,552 交易量
1%
9,500萬至1億
$269 交易量
1%
1億到1億零5百萬
$791 交易量
1%
1億500萬至1億1000萬
$436 交易量
6%
1億1千萬至1億1千5百萬
$526 交易量
11%
1億1500萬-1億2000萬
$1,025 交易量
16%
1億2千萬-1億2千5百萬
$408 交易量
23%
1.25-1.3 億
$1,204 交易量
14%
1億3,000萬+
$307 交易量
26%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Recent developments in the 2026 midterm cycle, including a Democratic edge in generic congressional ballot polling and a measurable enthusiasm gap favoring Democratic voters, have kept projected House turnout levels clustered in the 115–130 million range. With all 435 seats contested amid ongoing primaries, redistricting adjustments in key states, and economic concerns shaping voter mobilization, traders see competing pressures from Republican structural advantages and Democratic efforts to boost participation among higher-propensity groups. Historical midterm patterns show turnout typically trails presidential years by 10–15 percentage points, yet competitive national conditions and early campaign intensity could sustain elevated participation closer to 2018 levels. Scheduled primaries through summer and fall legislative actions remain key variables that could shift the balance before November voting.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
市場開放時間： Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
交易量
$7,260結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Recent developments in the 2026 midterm cycle, including a Democratic edge in generic congressional ballot polling and a measurable enthusiasm gap favoring Democratic voters, have kept projected House turnout levels clustered in the 115–130 million range. With all 435 seats contested amid ongoing primaries, redistricting adjustments in key states, and economic concerns shaping voter mobilization, traders see competing pressures from Republican structural advantages and Democratic efforts to boost participation among higher-propensity groups. Historical midterm patterns show turnout typically trails presidential years by 10–15 percentage points, yet competitive national conditions and early campaign intensity could sustain elevated participation closer to 2018 levels. Scheduled primaries through summer and fall legislative actions remain key variables that could shift the balance before November voting.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
交易量
$7,260結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent developments in the 2026 midterm cycle, including a Democratic edge in generic congressional ballot polling and a measurable enthusiasm gap favoring Democratic voters, have kept projected House turnout levels clustered in the 115–130 million range. With all 435 seats contested amid ongoing primaries, redistricting adjustments in key states, and economic concerns shaping voter mobilization, traders see competing pressures from Republican structural advantages and Democratic efforts to boost participation among higher-propensity groups. Historical midterm patterns show turnout typically trails presidential years by 10–15 percentage points, yet competitive national conditions and early campaign intensity could sustain elevated participation closer to 2018 levels. Scheduled primaries through summer and fall legislative actions remain key variables that could shift the balance before November voting.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions