Recent affirmations by S&P Global Ratings in June 2026 and Fitch Ratings in August 2026 of the U.S. sovereign rating at AA+ with stable outlooks reflect trader expectations that another downgrade remains unlikely before 2027. Both agencies cited economic resilience, solid revenue collection including from tariffs, and fiscal deficits that are high yet projected to stabilize rather than accelerate sharply in the near term. Moody’s maintains a negative outlook following its 2025 action, but no agency has signaled imminent further cuts. Persistent deficits near $2 trillion for fiscal 2026 and debt exceeding $40 trillion continue to draw scrutiny, yet the absence of acute debt-ceiling brinkmanship or abrupt fiscal slippage since the last limit increase supports the current consensus that rating stability will hold through year-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於在2027年之前再次下調美國債務評級？
在2027年之前再次下調美國債務評級？
是
14% 機率
$13,253 交易量
$13,253 交易量
2026-12-31
是
14% 機率
$13,253 交易量
$13,253 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent affirmations by S&P Global Ratings in June 2026 and Fitch Ratings in August 2026 of the U.S. sovereign rating at AA+ with stable outlooks reflect trader expectations that another downgrade remains unlikely before 2027. Both agencies cited economic resilience, solid revenue collection including from tariffs, and fiscal deficits that are high yet projected to stabilize rather than accelerate sharply in the near term. Moody’s maintains a negative outlook following its 2025 action, but no agency has signaled imminent further cuts. Persistent deficits near $2 trillion for fiscal 2026 and debt exceeding $40 trillion continue to draw scrutiny, yet the absence of acute debt-ceiling brinkmanship or abrupt fiscal slippage since the last limit increase supports the current consensus that rating stability will hold through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間： Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ET
交易量
$13,253結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent affirmations by S&P Global Ratings in June 2026 and Fitch Ratings in August 2026 of the U.S. sovereign rating at AA+ with stable outlooks reflect trader expectations that another downgrade remains unlikely before 2027. Both agencies cited economic resilience, solid revenue collection including from tariffs, and fiscal deficits that are high yet projected to stabilize rather than accelerate sharply in the near term. Moody’s maintains a negative outlook following its 2025 action, but no agency has signaled imminent further cuts. Persistent deficits near $2 trillion for fiscal 2026 and debt exceeding $40 trillion continue to draw scrutiny, yet the absence of acute debt-ceiling brinkmanship or abrupt fiscal slippage since the last limit increase supports the current consensus that rating stability will hold through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$13,253結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ETRecent affirmations by S&P Global Ratings in June 2026 and Fitch Ratings in August 2026 of the U.S. sovereign rating at AA+ with stable outlooks reflect trader expectations that another downgrade remains unlikely before 2027. Both agencies cited economic resilience, solid revenue collection including from tariffs, and fiscal deficits that are high yet projected to stabilize rather than accelerate sharply in the near term. Moody’s maintains a negative outlook following its 2025 action, but no agency has signaled imminent further cuts. Persistent deficits near $2 trillion for fiscal 2026 and debt exceeding $40 trillion continue to draw scrutiny, yet the absence of acute debt-ceiling brinkmanship or abrupt fiscal slippage since the last limit increase supports the current consensus that rating stability will hold through year-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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