Recent reports of Anthropic exploring a $30 billion-plus pre-IPO funding round at a $900 billion-plus valuation, alongside credible indications of a potential Q4 2026 listing, have anchored trader sentiment around elevated closing market caps. Strong demand from existing backers like Amazon and Google, combined with Claude's enterprise adoption and rapid revenue growth in the large language model space, supports the market's leading 1.8T+ outcome at 32 percent implied probability. Outcomes in the 1.2–1.8T range reflect expectations of successful execution amid AI sector momentum, while lower brackets or the 12 percent chance of no IPO by end-2027 account for typical delays in regulatory filings, shifting public market conditions, or competitive pressures from rivals like OpenAI. Traders are watching for any S-1 submission or confirmed timeline as the next catalyst.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於1.8T+ 32%
1.2–1.5T 16%
1.5–1.8T 14%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 12%
$50,299 交易量
$50,299 交易量
<0.6T
3%
0.6–0.9T
6%
0.9–1.2T
12%
1.2–1.5T
16%
1.5–1.8T
14%
1.8T+
32%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
12%
1.8T+ 32%
1.2–1.5T 16%
1.5–1.8T 14%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 12%
$50,299 交易量
$50,299 交易量
<0.6T
3%
0.6–0.9T
6%
0.9–1.2T
12%
1.2–1.5T
16%
1.5–1.8T
14%
1.8T+
32%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
12%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市場開放時間: Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent reports of Anthropic exploring a $30 billion-plus pre-IPO funding round at a $900 billion-plus valuation, alongside credible indications of a potential Q4 2026 listing, have anchored trader sentiment around elevated closing market caps. Strong demand from existing backers like Amazon and Google, combined with Claude's enterprise adoption and rapid revenue growth in the large language model space, supports the market's leading 1.8T+ outcome at 32 percent implied probability. Outcomes in the 1.2–1.8T range reflect expectations of successful execution amid AI sector momentum, while lower brackets or the 12 percent chance of no IPO by end-2027 account for typical delays in regulatory filings, shifting public market conditions, or competitive pressures from rivals like OpenAI. Traders are watching for any S-1 submission or confirmed timeline as the next catalyst.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions