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政治·主要

亞利桑那州州長共和黨初選獲勝者

icon for 亞利桑那州州長共和黨初選獲勝者
政治·主要

亞利桑那州州長共和黨初選獲勝者

安迪·比格斯 95%

大衛·施維克特 2.4%

Karrin Taylor Robson <1%

Polymarket

$65,469 交易量

安迪·比格斯 95%

大衛·施維克特 2.4%

Karrin Taylor Robson <1%

Polymarket

$65,469 交易量

安迪·比格斯

$6,454 交易量

95%

大衛·施維克特

$6,197 交易量

2%

Karrin Taylor Robson

$52,818 交易量

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Arizona, scheduled to take place on July 21, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Arizona Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Arizona Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Rep. Andy Biggs holds a commanding lead in the Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary, reflected in trader consensus pricing him at 95% implied probability to win on July 21, driven by a recent Kreate Strategies poll showing him at 61% to Rep. David Schweikert's 23%. Biggs' position stems from superior fundraising—nearly $3 million raised with over $1 million cash on hand as of mid-April—record nomination signatures submitted in March, and key endorsements from former President Trump and Turning Point USA's Charlie Kirk, following Karrin Taylor Robson's February campaign suspension that consolidated support. Schweikert lags with minimal cash reserves and weaker polling. While dominant, late-breaking scandals, a Schweikert endorsement surge, or shifts among remaining undecided voters could challenge the outcome ahead of the primary.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Arizona, scheduled to take place on July 21, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Arizona Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Arizona Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$65,469
結束日期
2026-07-21
市場開放時間
Dec 4, 2025, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Arizona, scheduled to take place on July 21, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Arizona Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Arizona Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Arizona, scheduled to take place on July 21, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Arizona Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Arizona Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Rep. Andy Biggs holds a commanding lead in the Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary, reflected in trader consensus pricing him at 95% implied probability to win on July 21, driven by a recent Kreate Strategies poll showing him at 61% to Rep. David Schweikert's 23%. Biggs' position stems from superior fundraising—nearly $3 million raised with over $1 million cash on hand as of mid-April—record nomination signatures submitted in March, and key endorsements from former President Trump and Turning Point USA's Charlie Kirk, following Karrin Taylor Robson's February campaign suspension that consolidated support. Schweikert lags with minimal cash reserves and weaker polling. While dominant, late-breaking scandals, a Schweikert endorsement surge, or shifts among remaining undecided voters could challenge the outcome ahead of the primary.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Arizona, scheduled to take place on July 21, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Arizona Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Arizona Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$65,469
結束日期
2026-07-21
市場開放時間
Dec 4, 2025, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Arizona, scheduled to take place on July 21, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Arizona Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Arizona Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"亞利桑那州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "安迪·比格斯" at 95%, followed by "大衛·施維克特" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "亞利桑那州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" has generated $65.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "亞利桑那州州長共和黨初選獲勝者," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "亞利桑那州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" is "安迪·比格斯" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "大衛·施維克特" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "亞利桑那州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.