Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan’s Civil Contract party holds a commanding lead in the June 7, 2026, parliamentary elections, with traders assigning it over 91 percent probability of winning the most seats in the National Assembly. This positioning stems from the party’s incumbency advantage since the 2018 Velvet Revolution, its recent registration of a full candidate list, and the launch of its “Real Armenia” platform emphasizing European integration and domestic reforms. Fragmented opposition forces, including Strong Armenia and Armenia Alliance, have struggled to consolidate support amid voter focus on security and economic normalization. A constitutional majority for Civil Contract remains plausible if turnout favors the incumbent, though late shifts could occur from unexpected opposition alliances or renewed public debate over territorial issues.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於公民契約黨 92%
強大亞美尼亞 7.3%
亞美尼亞聯盟 <1%
亞美尼亞國民大會 <1%
$194,502 交易量
$194,502 交易量
2026-06-07
公民契約黨
92%
強大亞美尼亞
7%
亞美尼亞聯盟
<1%
亞美尼亞國民大會
<1%
繁榮亞美尼亞
<1%
光明亞美尼亞
<1%
我有榮譽聯盟
<1%
Hanrapetutyun黨
<1%
民族遺產黨
<1%
奧瑞納茨·葉爾基爾
<1%
公民契約黨 92%
強大亞美尼亞 7.3%
亞美尼亞聯盟 <1%
亞美尼亞國民大會 <1%
$194,502 交易量
$194,502 交易量
2026-06-07
公民契約黨
$63,883 交易量
92%
強大亞美尼亞
$9,432 交易量
7%
亞美尼亞聯盟
$57,536 交易量
<1%
亞美尼亞國民大會
$9,288 交易量
<1%
繁榮亞美尼亞
$11,224 交易量
<1%
光明亞美尼亞
$8,166 交易量
<1%
我有榮譽聯盟
$7,759 交易量
<1%
Hanrapetutyun黨
$8,292 交易量
<1%
民族遺產黨
$8,662 交易量
<1%
奧瑞納茨·葉爾基爾
$10,260 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan’s Civil Contract party holds a commanding lead in the June 7, 2026, parliamentary elections, with traders assigning it over 91 percent probability of winning the most seats in the National Assembly. This positioning stems from the party’s incumbency advantage since the 2018 Velvet Revolution, its recent registration of a full candidate list, and the launch of its “Real Armenia” platform emphasizing European integration and domestic reforms. Fragmented opposition forces, including Strong Armenia and Armenia Alliance, have struggled to consolidate support amid voter focus on security and economic normalization. A constitutional majority for Civil Contract remains plausible if turnout favors the incumbent, though late shifts could occur from unexpected opposition alliances or renewed public debate over territorial issues.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
市場開放時間： Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ET
交易量
$194,502結束日期
2026-06-07市場開放時間
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan’s Civil Contract party holds a commanding lead in the June 7, 2026, parliamentary elections, with traders assigning it over 91 percent probability of winning the most seats in the National Assembly. This positioning stems from the party’s incumbency advantage since the 2018 Velvet Revolution, its recent registration of a full candidate list, and the launch of its “Real Armenia” platform emphasizing European integration and domestic reforms. Fragmented opposition forces, including Strong Armenia and Armenia Alliance, have struggled to consolidate support amid voter focus on security and economic normalization. A constitutional majority for Civil Contract remains plausible if turnout favors the incumbent, though late shifts could occur from unexpected opposition alliances or renewed public debate over territorial issues.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
交易量
$194,502結束日期
2026-06-07市場開放時間
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan’s Civil Contract party holds a commanding lead in the June 7, 2026, parliamentary elections, with traders assigning it over 91 percent probability of winning the most seats in the National Assembly. This positioning stems from the party’s incumbency advantage since the 2018 Velvet Revolution, its recent registration of a full candidate list, and the launch of its “Real Armenia” platform emphasizing European integration and domestic reforms. Fragmented opposition forces, including Strong Armenia and Armenia Alliance, have struggled to consolidate support amid voter focus on security and economic normalization. A constitutional majority for Civil Contract remains plausible if turnout favors the incumbent, though late shifts could occur from unexpected opposition alliances or renewed public debate over territorial issues.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions