Traders assign a 98% probability that Bill Clinton will not divorce Hillary Clinton by June 30 because no credible public statements, legal filings, or verified reports of marital breakdown have emerged in recent months. Their long-standing partnership has shown no recent signs of strain, with joint public appearances and positive social media references to their anniversary reinforcing continuity. Tabloid speculation tied to past Epstein-related inquiries has generated no supporting evidence from official proceedings or family statements. While a sudden health crisis or unexpected revelation could theoretically alter the timeline, the absence of any structural or personal indicators makes such developments improbable within the short resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$658,958 交易量
$658,958 交易量
是
$658,958 交易量
$658,958 交易量
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Bill Clinton and/or Hillary Clinton, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
市場開放時間: Dec 19, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Bill Clinton and/or Hillary Clinton, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 98% probability that Bill Clinton will not divorce Hillary Clinton by June 30 because no credible public statements, legal filings, or verified reports of marital breakdown have emerged in recent months. Their long-standing partnership has shown no recent signs of strain, with joint public appearances and positive social media references to their anniversary reinforcing continuity. Tabloid speculation tied to past Epstein-related inquiries has generated no supporting evidence from official proceedings or family statements. While a sudden health crisis or unexpected revelation could theoretically alter the timeline, the absence of any structural or personal indicators makes such developments improbable within the short resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions