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地緣政治·文化

比爾克林頓在6月30日前離婚？

icon for 比爾克林頓在6月30日前離婚？
地緣政治·文化

比爾克林頓在6月30日前離婚？

是

2% 機率
Polymarket

$658,961 交易量

是

2% 機率
Polymarket

$658,961 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bill Clinton and/or Hillary Clinton announce their intention to divorce by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The resolution source will be statements from Bill Clinton and/or Hillary Clinton, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.Longstanding public records show Bill and Hillary Clinton have maintained their marriage without any divorce filings or official announcements through multiple decades of scrutiny, including recent congressional testimony on unrelated matters. Trader consensus at 98 percent for no resolution by the June 30 deadline reflects the absence of verifiable legal steps or credible sourcing indicating imminent proceedings in the remaining weeks. Historical patterns for high-profile couples in similar positions further support limited movement absent an unforeseen catalyst. Even at this elevated probability, abrupt developments such as sudden health disclosures, new court filings, or shifting personal statements could still prompt traders to reassess before the cutoff.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bill Clinton and/or Hillary Clinton announce their intention to divorce by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.

The resolution source will be statements from Bill Clinton and/or Hillary Clinton, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
交易量
$658,961
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Dec 19, 2025, 6:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bill Clinton and/or Hillary Clinton announce their intention to divorce by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The resolution source will be statements from Bill Clinton and/or Hillary Clinton, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bill Clinton and/or Hillary Clinton announce their intention to divorce by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The resolution source will be statements from Bill Clinton and/or Hillary Clinton, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.Longstanding public records show Bill and Hillary Clinton have maintained their marriage without any divorce filings or official announcements through multiple decades of scrutiny, including recent congressional testimony on unrelated matters. Trader consensus at 98 percent for no resolution by the June 30 deadline reflects the absence of verifiable legal steps or credible sourcing indicating imminent proceedings in the remaining weeks. Historical patterns for high-profile couples in similar positions further support limited movement absent an unforeseen catalyst. Even at this elevated probability, abrupt developments such as sudden health disclosures, new court filings, or shifting personal statements could still prompt traders to reassess before the cutoff.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bill Clinton and/or Hillary Clinton announce their intention to divorce by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.

The resolution source will be statements from Bill Clinton and/or Hillary Clinton, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
交易量
$658,961
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Dec 19, 2025, 6:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bill Clinton and/or Hillary Clinton announce their intention to divorce by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The resolution source will be statements from Bill Clinton and/or Hillary Clinton, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"比爾克林頓在6月30日前離婚？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "比爾·克林頓在6月30日前離婚？" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 2¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 2% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "比爾克林頓在6月30日前離婚？" has generated $659K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 19, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "比爾克林頓在6月30日前離婚？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "比爾克林頓在6月30日前離婚？" is "比爾·克林頓在6月30日前離婚？" at just 2%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "比爾克林頓在6月30日前離婚？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.