Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 47.5% implied probability for Cerebras Systems' IPO closing market cap in the $60 billion–$70 billion range, reflecting surging demand for the AI chipmaker's wafer-scale technology amid the ongoing AI infrastructure boom. This positioning stems from the company's sharp IPO upsizing announced May 11, 2026—boosting the share price range to $150–$160 from $115–$125 and offering 30 million shares to raise up to $4.8 billion at a fully diluted ~$49 billion valuation—driven by over 20x oversubscription and reports of last-ditch buyout bids from Arm and SoftBank. Bolstered by 76% revenue growth to $510 million in 2025, GAAP profitability, and a $20 billion-plus OpenAI compute deal, traders anticipate a significant first-day pop on the May 14 Nasdaq debut under ticker CBRS, though $100 billion-plus odds remain slim at 3.5% due to competitive pressures from Nvidia.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於600 億–700 億美元 45%
700億–800億美元 18%
500億–600億美元 12%
800 億–900 億美元 10.0%
最新
$83,826 交易量
最新
$83,826 交易量
2026-05-14
低於 500 億美元
7%
500億–600億美元
12%
600 億–700 億美元
45%
700億–800億美元
18%
800 億–900 億美元
10%
900 億–1,000 億美元
8%
1000 億美元以上
4%
2026年7月前不進行IPO
<1%
600 億–700 億美元 45%
700億–800億美元 18%
500億–600億美元 12%
800 億–900 億美元 10.0%
最新
$83,826 交易量
最新
$83,826 交易量
2026-05-14
低於 500 億美元
$26,804 交易量
7%
500億–600億美元
$12,271 交易量
12%
600 億–700 億美元
$8,089 交易量
45%
700億–800億美元
$6,801 交易量
18%
800 億–900 億美元
$3,492 交易量
10%
900 億–1,000 億美元
$8,222 交易量
8%
1000 億美元以上
$8,231 交易量
4%
2026年7月前不進行IPO
$9,967 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on Cerebras Systems' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 47.5% implied probability for Cerebras Systems' IPO closing market cap in the $60 billion–$70 billion range, reflecting surging demand for the AI chipmaker's wafer-scale technology amid the ongoing AI infrastructure boom. This positioning stems from the company's sharp IPO upsizing announced May 11, 2026—boosting the share price range to $150–$160 from $115–$125 and offering 30 million shares to raise up to $4.8 billion at a fully diluted ~$49 billion valuation—driven by over 20x oversubscription and reports of last-ditch buyout bids from Arm and SoftBank. Bolstered by 76% revenue growth to $510 million in 2025, GAAP profitability, and a $20 billion-plus OpenAI compute deal, traders anticipate a significant first-day pop on the May 14 Nasdaq debut under ticker CBRS, though $100 billion-plus odds remain slim at 3.5% due to competitive pressures from Nvidia.
This market will resolve based on Cerebras Systems' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
市場開放時間： May 11, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
交易量
$83,826結束日期
2026-05-14市場開放時間
May 11, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Cerebras Systems' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 47.5% implied probability for Cerebras Systems' IPO closing market cap in the $60 billion–$70 billion range, reflecting surging demand for the AI chipmaker's wafer-scale technology amid the ongoing AI infrastructure boom. This positioning stems from the company's sharp IPO upsizing announced May 11, 2026—boosting the share price range to $150–$160 from $115–$125 and offering 30 million shares to raise up to $4.8 billion at a fully diluted ~$49 billion valuation—driven by over 20x oversubscription and reports of last-ditch buyout bids from Arm and SoftBank. Bolstered by 76% revenue growth to $510 million in 2025, GAAP profitability, and a $20 billion-plus OpenAI compute deal, traders anticipate a significant first-day pop on the May 14 Nasdaq debut under ticker CBRS, though $100 billion-plus odds remain slim at 3.5% due to competitive pressures from Nvidia.
This market will resolve based on Cerebras Systems' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
交易量
$83,826結束日期
2026-05-14市場開放時間
May 11, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 47.5% implied probability for Cerebras Systems' IPO closing market cap in the $60 billion–$70 billion range, reflecting surging demand for the AI chipmaker's wafer-scale technology amid the ongoing AI infrastructure boom. This positioning stems from the company's sharp IPO upsizing announced May 11, 2026—boosting the share price range to $150–$160 from $115–$125 and offering 30 million shares to raise up to $4.8 billion at a fully diluted ~$49 billion valuation—driven by over 20x oversubscription and reports of last-ditch buyout bids from Arm and SoftBank. Bolstered by 76% revenue growth to $510 million in 2025, GAAP profitability, and a $20 billion-plus OpenAI compute deal, traders anticipate a significant first-day pop on the May 14 Nasdaq debut under ticker CBRS, though $100 billion-plus odds remain slim at 3.5% due to competitive pressures from Nvidia.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions