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政治·全球選舉

哥倫比亞總統選舉第一輪：第二名

icon for 哥倫比亞總統選舉第一輪：第二名
政治·全球選舉

哥倫比亞總統選舉第一輪：第二名

Abelardo de la Espriella 71%

Paloma Valencia 18%

Iván Cepeda Castro 13.0%

Claudia López <1%

Polymarket

$89,279 交易量

Abelardo de la Espriella 71%

Paloma Valencia 18%

Iván Cepeda Castro 13.0%

Claudia López <1%

Polymarket

$89,279 交易量

icon for Abelardo de la Espriella

Abelardo de la Espriella

$9,481 交易量

71%

icon for Paloma Valencia

Paloma Valencia

$13,260 交易量

18%

icon for Iván Cepeda Castro

Iván Cepeda Castro

$9,635 交易量

13%

icon for Claudia López

Claudia López

$4,963 交易量

<1%

icon for Mauricio Cárdenas

Mauricio Cárdenas

$4,032 交易量

<1%

icon for Gustavo Bolívar

Gustavo Bolívar

$4,038 交易量

<1%

icon for Sergio Fajardo

Sergio Fajardo

$4,653 交易量

<1%

icon for Germán Vargas Lleras

Germán Vargas Lleras

$4,200 交易量

<1%

icon for Juan Manuel Galán

Juan Manuel Galán

$3,438 交易量

<1%

icon for Roy Barreras

Roy Barreras

$4,849 交易量

<1%

icon for Juan Carlos Pinzón

Juan Carlos Pinzón

$3,530 交易量

<1%

icon for Enrique Peñalosa

Enrique Peñalosa

$3,496 交易量

<1%

icon for Vicky Dávila

Vicky Dávila

$4,417 交易量

<1%

icon for David Luna Sánchez

David Luna Sánchez

$3,531 交易量

<1%

icon for Juan Daniel Oviedo

Juan Daniel Oviedo

$4,072 交易量

<1%

icon for Luis Gilberto Murillo

Luis Gilberto Murillo

$4,151 交易量

<1%

icon for Daniel Quintero

Daniel Quintero

$3,532 交易量

<1%

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Abelardo de la Espriella leads the market for second place in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential election because recent polling and primary results show him consolidating right-wing support behind a hardline security platform modeled on figures like Nayib Bukele. As an outsider candidate running outside major coalitions, he has drawn voters frustrated with incumbent policies on crime and drugs, outpacing center-right rival Paloma Valencia despite her strong March primary performance and Uribe-backed coalition. Iván Cepeda Castro remains the clear frontrunner on the left, leaving the second slot contested mainly between de la Espriella’s populist appeal and Valencia’s establishment positioning. Recent campaign violence targeting de la Espriella’s team has further highlighted security concerns that reinforce his current edge in trader assessments ahead of the vote.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
交易量
$89,279
結束日期
2026-05-31
市場開放時間
Apr 21, 2026, 3:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Abelardo de la Espriella leads the market for second place in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential election because recent polling and primary results show him consolidating right-wing support behind a hardline security platform modeled on figures like Nayib Bukele. As an outsider candidate running outside major coalitions, he has drawn voters frustrated with incumbent policies on crime and drugs, outpacing center-right rival Paloma Valencia despite her strong March primary performance and Uribe-backed coalition. Iván Cepeda Castro remains the clear frontrunner on the left, leaving the second slot contested mainly between de la Espriella’s populist appeal and Valencia’s establishment positioning. Recent campaign violence targeting de la Espriella’s team has further highlighted security concerns that reinforce his current edge in trader assessments ahead of the vote.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
交易量
$89,279
結束日期
2026-05-31
市場開放時間
Apr 21, 2026, 3:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"哥倫比亞總統選舉第一輪：第二名" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Abelardo de la Espriella" at 71%, followed by "Paloma Valencia" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 71¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "哥倫比亞總統選舉第一輪：第二名" has generated $89.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 21, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "哥倫比亞總統選舉第一輪：第二名," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "哥倫比亞總統選舉第一輪：第二名" is "Abelardo de la Espriella" at 71%, meaning the market assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Paloma Valencia" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "哥倫比亞總統選舉第一輪：第二名" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.