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政治·全球選舉

哥倫比亞總統選舉第一輪：第二名

icon for 哥倫比亞總統選舉第一輪：第二名
政治·全球選舉

哥倫比亞總統選舉第一輪：第二名

Abelardo de la Espriella 73%

Paloma Valencia 18%

Iván Cepeda Castro 11.1%

Claudia López <1%

Polymarket

$90,807 交易量

Abelardo de la Espriella 73%

Paloma Valencia 18%

Iván Cepeda Castro 11.1%

Claudia López <1%

Polymarket

$90,807 交易量

icon for Abelardo de la Espriella

Abelardo de la Espriella

$9,626 交易量

73%

icon for Paloma Valencia

Paloma Valencia

$13,360 交易量

18%

icon for Iván Cepeda Castro

Iván Cepeda Castro

$9,709 交易量

11%

icon for Claudia López

Claudia López

$5,047 交易量

<1%

icon for Sergio Fajardo

Sergio Fajardo

$4,737 交易量

<1%

icon for Germán Vargas Lleras

Germán Vargas Lleras

$4,284 交易量

<1%

icon for Gustavo Bolívar

Gustavo Bolívar

$4,137 交易量

<1%

icon for Juan Manuel Galán

Juan Manuel Galán

$3,536 交易量

<1%

icon for Roy Barreras

Roy Barreras

$4,948 交易量

<1%

icon for Juan Carlos Pinzón

Juan Carlos Pinzón

$3,629 交易量

<1%

icon for Enrique Peñalosa

Enrique Peñalosa

$3,594 交易量

<1%

icon for Vicky Dávila

Vicky Dávila

$4,516 交易量

<1%

icon for David Luna Sánchez

David Luna Sánchez

$3,615 交易量

<1%

icon for Juan Daniel Oviedo

Juan Daniel Oviedo

$4,171 交易量

<1%

icon for Mauricio Cárdenas

Mauricio Cárdenas

$4,116 交易量

<1%

icon for Luis Gilberto Murillo

Luis Gilberto Murillo

$4,250 交易量

<1%

icon for Daniel Quintero

Daniel Quintero

$3,532 交易量

<1%

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling consistently places leftist candidate Iván Cepeda ahead for first place while positioning far-right lawyer Abelardo de la Espriella as the clear frontrunner for second in the May 31 first round. De la Espriella’s outsider appeal, modeled on hardline security policies akin to those in El Salvador and Argentina, has consolidated right-wing support outside traditional party structures. Center-right senator Paloma Valencia strengthened her coalition standing after winning open primaries in March alongside legislative voting, yet trails in head-to-head measures for the runoff spot. Campaign violence, including the recent killings of two staffers for de la Espriella, underscores security concerns that continue to shape voter priorities without shifting the established ordering. These dynamics reflect trader consensus on the most likely top-two finishers ahead of the runoff threshold on June 21.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
交易量
$90,807
結束日期
2026-05-31
市場開放時間
Apr 21, 2026, 3:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling consistently places leftist candidate Iván Cepeda ahead for first place while positioning far-right lawyer Abelardo de la Espriella as the clear frontrunner for second in the May 31 first round. De la Espriella’s outsider appeal, modeled on hardline security policies akin to those in El Salvador and Argentina, has consolidated right-wing support outside traditional party structures. Center-right senator Paloma Valencia strengthened her coalition standing after winning open primaries in March alongside legislative voting, yet trails in head-to-head measures for the runoff spot. Campaign violence, including the recent killings of two staffers for de la Espriella, underscores security concerns that continue to shape voter priorities without shifting the established ordering. These dynamics reflect trader consensus on the most likely top-two finishers ahead of the runoff threshold on June 21.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
交易量
$90,807
結束日期
2026-05-31
市場開放時間
Apr 21, 2026, 3:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"哥倫比亞總統選舉第一輪：第二名" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Abelardo de la Espriella" at 73%, followed by "Paloma Valencia" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 73¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 73% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "哥倫比亞總統選舉第一輪：第二名" has generated $90.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 21, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "哥倫比亞總統選舉第一輪：第二名," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "哥倫比亞總統選舉第一輪：第二名" is "Abelardo de la Espriella" at 73%, meaning the market assigns a 73% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Paloma Valencia" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "哥倫比亞總統選舉第一輪：第二名" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.