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政治·全球選舉

哥倫比亞總統選舉第一輪：第二名

icon for 哥倫比亞總統選舉第一輪：第二名
政治·全球選舉

哥倫比亞總統選舉第一輪：第二名

Abelardo de la Espriella 71%

Paloma Valencia 18%

Iván Cepeda Castro 10.6%

Claudia López <1%

Polymarket

$90,132 交易量

Abelardo de la Espriella 71%

Paloma Valencia 18%

Iván Cepeda Castro 10.6%

Claudia López <1%

Polymarket

$90,132 交易量

icon for Abelardo de la Espriella

Abelardo de la Espriella

$9,545 交易量

71%

icon for Paloma Valencia

Paloma Valencia

$13,316 交易量

18%

icon for Iván Cepeda Castro

Iván Cepeda Castro

$9,665 交易量

11%

icon for Claudia López

Claudia López

$5,017 交易量

<1%

icon for Sergio Fajardo

Sergio Fajardo

$4,707 交易量

<1%

icon for Germán Vargas Lleras

Germán Vargas Lleras

$4,254 交易量

<1%

icon for Gustavo Bolívar

Gustavo Bolívar

$4,093 交易量

<1%

icon for Juan Manuel Galán

Juan Manuel Galán

$3,492 交易量

<1%

icon for Roy Barreras

Roy Barreras

$4,904 交易量

<1%

icon for Juan Carlos Pinzón

Juan Carlos Pinzón

$3,584 交易量

<1%

icon for Enrique Peñalosa

Enrique Peñalosa

$3,550 交易量

<1%

icon for Vicky Dávila

Vicky Dávila

$4,471 交易量

<1%

icon for David Luna Sánchez

David Luna Sánchez

$3,585 交易量

<1%

icon for Juan Daniel Oviedo

Juan Daniel Oviedo

$4,127 交易量

<1%

icon for Mauricio Cárdenas

Mauricio Cárdenas

$4,086 交易量

<1%

icon for Luis Gilberto Murillo

Luis Gilberto Murillo

$4,205 交易量

<1%

icon for Daniel Quintero

Daniel Quintero

$3,532 交易量

<1%

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling averages position right-wing candidate Abelardo de la Espriella as the primary challenger to left-wing frontrunner Iván Cepeda in Colombia’s May 31 first round, where a runoff follows if no candidate exceeds 50 percent. De la Espriella’s emphasis on military-led security measures and anti-establishment appeals has consolidated conservative support ahead of the vote, while Paloma Valencia’s strong March primary performance for the Democratic Centre has not yet translated into comparable general-election momentum. Cepeda maintains a narrow lead in most surveys through continuity with the current administration’s agenda, but trader consensus on second place reflects the right’s unified path and limited room for other contenders like Sergio Fajardo or Claudia López to surge before election day.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
交易量
$90,132
結束日期
2026-05-31
市場開放時間
Apr 21, 2026, 3:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling averages position right-wing candidate Abelardo de la Espriella as the primary challenger to left-wing frontrunner Iván Cepeda in Colombia’s May 31 first round, where a runoff follows if no candidate exceeds 50 percent. De la Espriella’s emphasis on military-led security measures and anti-establishment appeals has consolidated conservative support ahead of the vote, while Paloma Valencia’s strong March primary performance for the Democratic Centre has not yet translated into comparable general-election momentum. Cepeda maintains a narrow lead in most surveys through continuity with the current administration’s agenda, but trader consensus on second place reflects the right’s unified path and limited room for other contenders like Sergio Fajardo or Claudia López to surge before election day.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
交易量
$90,132
結束日期
2026-05-31
市場開放時間
Apr 21, 2026, 3:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"哥倫比亞總統選舉第一輪：第二名" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Abelardo de la Espriella" at 71%, followed by "Paloma Valencia" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 71¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "哥倫比亞總統選舉第一輪：第二名" has generated $90.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 21, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "哥倫比亞總統選舉第一輪：第二名," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "哥倫比亞總統選舉第一輪：第二名" is "Abelardo de la Espriella" at 71%, meaning the market assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Paloma Valencia" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "哥倫比亞總統選舉第一輪：第二名" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.