Trader consensus favoring an 84% implied probability of no critical Discord incident by May 31 stems from the platform’s demonstrated operational resilience. Recent short-lived disruptions, including a May 8 API error spike that impacted logins and messaging for under four hours before full recovery, were classified only as major rather than critical on Discord’s status page. Swift engineering responses and proactive monitoring have prevented escalation into widespread outages or data exposures. Absent credible reports of unpatched vulnerabilities, large-scale breaches, or infrastructure failures since early 2026 CVEs were addressed, traders see limited catalysts for a red-level incident before the May 31 resolution. Key watchpoints include any unannounced feature rollouts or Electron client flaws that could amplify downtime risk.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$17,346 交易量
$17,346 交易量
2026-05-31
$17,346 交易量
$17,346 交易量
2026-05-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.Trader consensus favoring an 84% implied probability of no critical Discord incident by May 31 stems from the platform’s demonstrated operational resilience. Recent short-lived disruptions, including a May 8 API error spike that impacted logins and messaging for under four hours before full recovery, were classified only as major rather than critical on Discord’s status page. Swift engineering responses and proactive monitoring have prevented escalation into widespread outages or data exposures. Absent credible reports of unpatched vulnerabilities, large-scale breaches, or infrastructure failures since early 2026 CVEs were addressed, traders see limited catalysts for a red-level incident before the May 31 resolution. Key watchpoints include any unannounced feature rollouts or Electron client flaws that could amplify downtime risk.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
市場開放時間： Apr 27, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
交易量
$17,346結束日期
2026-05-31市場開放時間
Apr 27, 2026, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.Trader consensus favoring an 84% implied probability of no critical Discord incident by May 31 stems from the platform’s demonstrated operational resilience. Recent short-lived disruptions, including a May 8 API error spike that impacted logins and messaging for under four hours before full recovery, were classified only as major rather than critical on Discord’s status page. Swift engineering responses and proactive monitoring have prevented escalation into widespread outages or data exposures. Absent credible reports of unpatched vulnerabilities, large-scale breaches, or infrastructure failures since early 2026 CVEs were addressed, traders see limited catalysts for a red-level incident before the May 31 resolution. Key watchpoints include any unannounced feature rollouts or Electron client flaws that could amplify downtime risk.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
交易量
$17,346結束日期
2026-05-31市場開放時間
Apr 27, 2026, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favoring an 84% implied probability of no critical Discord incident by May 31 stems from the platform’s demonstrated operational resilience. Recent short-lived disruptions, including a May 8 API error spike that impacted logins and messaging for under four hours before full recovery, were classified only as major rather than critical on Discord’s status page. Swift engineering responses and proactive monitoring have prevented escalation into widespread outages or data exposures. Absent credible reports of unpatched vulnerabilities, large-scale breaches, or infrastructure failures since early 2026 CVEs were addressed, traders see limited catalysts for a red-level incident before the May 31 resolution. Key watchpoints include any unannounced feature rollouts or Electron client flaws that could amplify downtime risk.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions