Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 86% implied probability that Anthropic's valuation will exceed OpenAI's by year-end 2026, driven by Anthropic's explosive revenue growth to a $30 billion annualized run-rate as of April—surpassing OpenAI's $24 billion—fueled by 80% enterprise adoption including eight Fortune 10 clients and efficient compute spending at one-fourth OpenAI's level. Secondary market trading already values Anthropic above $1 trillion, eclipsing OpenAI's $852 billion post-money from its March funding round amid investor scrutiny of the latter's consumer-heavy model. Recent talks for a $30 billion raise at $900 billion-plus pre-money underscore momentum, with potential closure this summer as a key catalyst alongside Claude model advancements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$56,998 交易量
$56,998 交易量
2026-12-31
$56,998 交易量
$56,998 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 86% implied probability that Anthropic's valuation will exceed OpenAI's by year-end 2026, driven by Anthropic's explosive revenue growth to a $30 billion annualized run-rate as of April—surpassing OpenAI's $24 billion—fueled by 80% enterprise adoption including eight Fortune 10 clients and efficient compute spending at one-fourth OpenAI's level. Secondary market trading already values Anthropic above $1 trillion, eclipsing OpenAI's $852 billion post-money from its March funding round amid investor scrutiny of the latter's consumer-heavy model. Recent talks for a $30 billion raise at $900 billion-plus pre-money underscore momentum, with potential closure this summer as a key catalyst alongside Claude model advancements.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ET
交易量
$56,998結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 86% implied probability that Anthropic's valuation will exceed OpenAI's by year-end 2026, driven by Anthropic's explosive revenue growth to a $30 billion annualized run-rate as of April—surpassing OpenAI's $24 billion—fueled by 80% enterprise adoption including eight Fortune 10 clients and efficient compute spending at one-fourth OpenAI's level. Secondary market trading already values Anthropic above $1 trillion, eclipsing OpenAI's $852 billion post-money from its March funding round amid investor scrutiny of the latter's consumer-heavy model. Recent talks for a $30 billion raise at $900 billion-plus pre-money underscore momentum, with potential closure this summer as a key catalyst alongside Claude model advancements.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$56,998結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 86% implied probability that Anthropic's valuation will exceed OpenAI's by year-end 2026, driven by Anthropic's explosive revenue growth to a $30 billion annualized run-rate as of April—surpassing OpenAI's $24 billion—fueled by 80% enterprise adoption including eight Fortune 10 clients and efficient compute spending at one-fourth OpenAI's level. Secondary market trading already values Anthropic above $1 trillion, eclipsing OpenAI's $852 billion post-money from its March funding round amid investor scrutiny of the latter's consumer-heavy model. Recent talks for a $30 billion raise at $900 billion-plus pre-money underscore momentum, with potential closure this summer as a key catalyst alongside Claude model advancements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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