Recent Democratic convention results have positioned former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin with a modest lead in the CT-01 Democratic primary, after he secured the party endorsement over 14-term incumbent U.S. Rep. John Larson by a 10-vote margin on the second ballot. State Rep. Jillian Gilchrest qualified for the August 11 primary ballot, while lesser-known challengers trail. The tight trader consensus reflects the upset nature of the convention outcome in a historically Democratic district, tempered by Larson's long record and established support among party delegates and voters. Key factors that could widen the gap include shifts in union backing, fundraising momentum, or turnout among core constituencies ahead of the primary vote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Luke Bronin 46%
John Larson 22%
Jillian Gilchrest 4.4%
Ruth Fortune 4.2%
Luke Bronin
46%
John Larson
36%
Jillian Gilchrest
4%
Ruth Fortune
4%
Mark Stewart Greenstein
1%
Luke Bronin 46%
John Larson 22%
Jillian Gilchrest 4.4%
Ruth Fortune 4.2%
Luke Bronin
46%
John Larson
36%
Jillian Gilchrest
4%
Ruth Fortune
4%
Mark Stewart Greenstein
1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市場開放時間: Feb 26, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Democratic convention results have positioned former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin with a modest lead in the CT-01 Democratic primary, after he secured the party endorsement over 14-term incumbent U.S. Rep. John Larson by a 10-vote margin on the second ballot. State Rep. Jillian Gilchrest qualified for the August 11 primary ballot, while lesser-known challengers trail. The tight trader consensus reflects the upset nature of the convention outcome in a historically Democratic district, tempered by Larson's long record and established support among party delegates and voters. Key factors that could widen the gap include shifts in union backing, fundraising momentum, or turnout among core constituencies ahead of the primary vote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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