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icon for NJ-12民主黨初選獲勝者
選舉·中期

NJ-12民主黨初選獲勝者

icon for NJ-12民主黨初選獲勝者
選舉·中期

NJ-12民主黨初選獲勝者

亞當·哈馬維 75%

維爾莉娜·雷諾茲-傑克森 10%

蘇珊·奧特曼 8%

Brad Cohen 5.8%

Polymarket

$32,805 交易量

亞當·哈馬維 75%

維爾莉娜·雷諾茲-傑克森 10%

蘇珊·奧特曼 8%

Brad Cohen 5.8%

Polymarket

$32,805 交易量

亞當·哈馬維

$1,659 交易量

75%

維爾莉娜·雷諾茲-傑克森

$1,166 交易量

10%

蘇珊·奧特曼

$14,938 交易量

8%

Brad Cohen

$2,026 交易量

6%

Kyle Little

$1,217 交易量

1%

以利亞·迪克森

$1,085 交易量

1%

Tennille R. McCoy

$4,875 交易量

1%

雷蒙德·赫克

$1,385 交易量

1%

馬修·亞當斯

$1,045 交易量

<1%

Adrian Mapp

$1,046 交易量

<1%

邁克爾·安德森

$2,364 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In New Jersey's 12th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 2, trader consensus prices Adam Hamawy as a strong frontrunner at 75% implied probability, reflecting his fundraising lead—nearly $550,000 raised in Q1—and momentum from the first public poll released last week. The Workbench Strategy survey (May 5-7) shows Hamawy at 19% among likely voters, ahead of Susan Altman (12%), Brad Cohen (11%), and Assemblywoman Verlina Reynolds-Jackson (10%) in a crowded 13-candidate field replacing retiring Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman. A super PAC ad blitz and Hamawy's internal poll further boosted his position, while April debates on affordability, housing, Trump policies, and Israel sharpened contrasts without shifting the pecking order. With early voting underway, undecideds and turnout in battleground areas like Mercer and Somerset counties remain pivotal.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$32,805
結束日期
2026-06-02
市場開放時間
Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In New Jersey's 12th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 2, trader consensus prices Adam Hamawy as a strong frontrunner at 75% implied probability, reflecting his fundraising lead—nearly $550,000 raised in Q1—and momentum from the first public poll released last week. The Workbench Strategy survey (May 5-7) shows Hamawy at 19% among likely voters, ahead of Susan Altman (12%), Brad Cohen (11%), and Assemblywoman Verlina Reynolds-Jackson (10%) in a crowded 13-candidate field replacing retiring Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman. A super PAC ad blitz and Hamawy's internal poll further boosted his position, while April debates on affordability, housing, Trump policies, and Israel sharpened contrasts without shifting the pecking order. With early voting underway, undecideds and turnout in battleground areas like Mercer and Somerset counties remain pivotal.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$32,805
結束日期
2026-06-02
市場開放時間
Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"NJ-12民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "亞當·哈馬維" at 75%, followed by "維爾莉娜·雷諾茲-傑克森" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 75¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "NJ-12民主黨初選獲勝者" has generated $32.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "NJ-12民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NJ-12民主黨初選獲勝者" is "亞當·哈馬維" at 75%, meaning the market assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "維爾莉娜·雷諾茲-傑克森" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NJ-12民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.