California's 14th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+19 Partisan Voter Index and consistent election results favoring the party by wide margins in recent cycles. The June 2026 primary advanced two Democratic candidates, including State Senator Aisha Wahab, well ahead of the leading Republican, underscoring limited GOP competitiveness in this East Bay area covering Hayward, Fremont, and Livermore. The seat opened after Eric Swalwell's resignation, yet primary vote shares and historical turnout patterns among Democratic-leaning voters have reinforced trader consensus on a Democratic hold. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen candidate withdrawal, major late scandal, or unusually low Democratic participation in the August special general or November contests, though such developments remain uncommon in this district.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$35,739 交易量
$35,739 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
97%
共和黨
1%
$35,739 交易量
$35,739 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
$13,983 交易量
97%
共和黨
$21,756 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 14th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+19 Partisan Voter Index and consistent election results favoring the party by wide margins in recent cycles. The June 2026 primary advanced two Democratic candidates, including State Senator Aisha Wahab, well ahead of the leading Republican, underscoring limited GOP competitiveness in this East Bay area covering Hayward, Fremont, and Livermore. The seat opened after Eric Swalwell's resignation, yet primary vote shares and historical turnout patterns among Democratic-leaning voters have reinforced trader consensus on a Democratic hold. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen candidate withdrawal, major late scandal, or unusually low Democratic participation in the August special general or November contests, though such developments remain uncommon in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
交易量
$35,739結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 14th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+19 Partisan Voter Index and consistent election results favoring the party by wide margins in recent cycles. The June 2026 primary advanced two Democratic candidates, including State Senator Aisha Wahab, well ahead of the leading Republican, underscoring limited GOP competitiveness in this East Bay area covering Hayward, Fremont, and Livermore. The seat opened after Eric Swalwell's resignation, yet primary vote shares and historical turnout patterns among Democratic-leaning voters have reinforced trader consensus on a Democratic hold. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen candidate withdrawal, major late scandal, or unusually low Democratic participation in the August special general or November contests, though such developments remain uncommon in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$35,739結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 14th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+19 Partisan Voter Index and consistent election results favoring the party by wide margins in recent cycles. The June 2026 primary advanced two Democratic candidates, including State Senator Aisha Wahab, well ahead of the leading Republican, underscoring limited GOP competitiveness in this East Bay area covering Hayward, Fremont, and Livermore. The seat opened after Eric Swalwell's resignation, yet primary vote shares and historical turnout patterns among Democratic-leaning voters have reinforced trader consensus on a Democratic hold. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen candidate withdrawal, major late scandal, or unusually low Democratic participation in the August special general or November contests, though such developments remain uncommon in this district.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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