Discord’s confidential January 2026 SEC filing with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan has yet to produce a public S-1, pushing any IPO timeline into 2027 or later and elevating the 52.3% implied probability of no listing by December 31, 2027. Secondary-market indications from Forge Global have stabilized near $8.5 billion, aligning with the leading 8–11 billion closing market-cap bracket at 12.6% and reflecting valuation compression from the 2021 $15 billion peak amid softer multiples for consumer platforms. With roughly 200 million monthly active users and $600–900 million in annualized revenue, trader consensus prices in monetization uncertainty and equity-market conditions that could delay or size the debut below historical targets. Key catalysts remain equity sentiment and any public filing updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於到2027年12月31日之前未進行IPO 52.4%
80–110億 12.6%
110–140億 11.0%
200億以上 5.8%
$105,225 交易量
$105,225 交易量
低於 50 億
2%
50–80億
2%
80–110億
13%
110–140億
11%
140–170億美元
5%
170–200 億
4%
200億以上
6%
到2027年12月31日之前未進行IPO
52%
到2027年12月31日之前未進行IPO 52.4%
80–110億 12.6%
110–140億 11.0%
200億以上 5.8%
$105,225 交易量
$105,225 交易量
低於 50 億
2%
50–80億
2%
80–110億
13%
110–140億
11%
140–170億美元
5%
170–200 億
4%
200億以上
6%
到2027年12月31日之前未進行IPO
52%
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
市場開放時間: Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Discord’s confidential January 2026 SEC filing with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan has yet to produce a public S-1, pushing any IPO timeline into 2027 or later and elevating the 52.3% implied probability of no listing by December 31, 2027. Secondary-market indications from Forge Global have stabilized near $8.5 billion, aligning with the leading 8–11 billion closing market-cap bracket at 12.6% and reflecting valuation compression from the 2021 $15 billion peak amid softer multiples for consumer platforms. With roughly 200 million monthly active users and $600–900 million in annualized revenue, trader consensus prices in monetization uncertainty and equity-market conditions that could delay or size the debut below historical targets. Key catalysts remain equity sentiment and any public filing updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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