The absence of any formal charges or active arrest warrant from ongoing DOJ and local criminal inquiries into former Representative Eric Swalwell’s sexual misconduct allegations has anchored trader consensus that an arrest by May 31 remains unlikely. Those probes, opened in April 2026 after multiple accusers came forward and prompted his congressional resignation, remain in preliminary stages with no public indication of imminent action. The compressed two-week window before the resolution date further limits the prospect of sudden developments such as expedited indictments or new evidence triggering custody. While late-stage breakthroughs in the Manhattan or Los Angeles investigations could still shift the outlook, historical patterns of federal and state handling of similar allegations suggest such rapid escalation is uncommon.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$13,345 交易量
$13,345 交易量
2026-05-31
是
$13,345 交易量
$13,345 交易量
2026-05-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The absence of any formal charges or active arrest warrant from ongoing DOJ and local criminal inquiries into former Representative Eric Swalwell’s sexual misconduct allegations has anchored trader consensus that an arrest by May 31 remains unlikely. Those probes, opened in April 2026 after multiple accusers came forward and prompted his congressional resignation, remain in preliminary stages with no public indication of imminent action. The compressed two-week window before the resolution date further limits the prospect of sudden developments such as expedited indictments or new evidence triggering custody. While late-stage breakthroughs in the Manhattan or Los Angeles investigations could still shift the outlook, historical patterns of federal and state handling of similar allegations suggest such rapid escalation is uncommon.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Apr 14, 2026, 2:57 PM ET
交易量
$13,345結束日期
2026-05-31市場開放時間
Apr 14, 2026, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The absence of any formal charges or active arrest warrant from ongoing DOJ and local criminal inquiries into former Representative Eric Swalwell’s sexual misconduct allegations has anchored trader consensus that an arrest by May 31 remains unlikely. Those probes, opened in April 2026 after multiple accusers came forward and prompted his congressional resignation, remain in preliminary stages with no public indication of imminent action. The compressed two-week window before the resolution date further limits the prospect of sudden developments such as expedited indictments or new evidence triggering custody. While late-stage breakthroughs in the Manhattan or Los Angeles investigations could still shift the outlook, historical patterns of federal and state handling of similar allegations suggest such rapid escalation is uncommon.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$13,345結束日期
2026-05-31市場開放時間
Apr 14, 2026, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The absence of any formal charges or active arrest warrant from ongoing DOJ and local criminal inquiries into former Representative Eric Swalwell’s sexual misconduct allegations has anchored trader consensus that an arrest by May 31 remains unlikely. Those probes, opened in April 2026 after multiple accusers came forward and prompted his congressional resignation, remain in preliminary stages with no public indication of imminent action. The compressed two-week window before the resolution date further limits the prospect of sudden developments such as expedited indictments or new evidence triggering custody. While late-stage breakthroughs in the Manhattan or Los Angeles investigations could still shift the outlook, historical patterns of federal and state handling of similar allegations suggest such rapid escalation is uncommon.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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