Recent polling and candidate profiles position Independent Ireland’s Noel Thomas as the frontrunner in the Galway West by-election, with Fine Gael’s Seán Kyne close behind on first preferences amid a fragmented field of 17 contenders. Thomas has gained traction through emphasis on immigration and cost-of-living concerns, while Kyne draws on his prior Dáil experience and strong second-preference flows in the Irish Times/TG4 survey. Labour’s Helen Ogbu leads the scattered left vote, and smaller parties such as Sinn Féin, Social Democrats, and Fianna Fáil trail. With voting scheduled for 22 May, traders reflect the competitive dynamics and the potential for late transfers to decide the outcome in this single-seat contest.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於諾埃爾·托馬斯 42%
Seán Kyne 31.1%
Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich 9.2%
麥克·卡伯德 9.1%
$47,329 交易量
$47,329 交易量
2027-03-31
Sheila Garrity
1%
Seán Kyne
31%
奈爾·墨菲
<1%
Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich
9%
奧拉·紐金特
1%
Helen Ogbu
3%
丹曼·魯克
1%
諾埃爾·托馬斯
47%
托馬斯·韋爾比
<1%
麥克·卡伯德
14%
Mark Lohan
4%
諾埃爾·托馬斯 42%
Seán Kyne 31.1%
Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich 9.2%
麥克·卡伯德 9.1%
$47,329 交易量
$47,329 交易量
2027-03-31
Sheila Garrity
$20,246 交易量
1%
Seán Kyne
$4,700 交易量
31%
奈爾·墨菲
$1,834 交易量
<1%
Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich
$1,646 交易量
9%
奧拉·紐金特
$1,680 交易量
1%
Helen Ogbu
$3,933 交易量
3%
丹曼·魯克
$1,612 交易量
1%
諾埃爾·托馬斯
$5,057 交易量
47%
托馬斯·韋爾比
$1,697 交易量
<1%
麥克·卡伯德
$2,416 交易量
14%
Mark Lohan
$2,509 交易量
4%
A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).Recent polling and candidate profiles position Independent Ireland’s Noel Thomas as the frontrunner in the Galway West by-election, with Fine Gael’s Seán Kyne close behind on first preferences amid a fragmented field of 17 contenders. Thomas has gained traction through emphasis on immigration and cost-of-living concerns, while Kyne draws on his prior Dáil experience and strong second-preference flows in the Irish Times/TG4 survey. Labour’s Helen Ogbu leads the scattered left vote, and smaller parties such as Sinn Féin, Social Democrats, and Fianna Fáil trail. With voting scheduled for 22 May, traders reflect the competitive dynamics and the potential for late transfers to decide the outcome in this single-seat contest.
A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
市場開放時間： Feb 25, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
交易量
$47,329結束日期
2027-03-31市場開放時間
Feb 25, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).Recent polling and candidate profiles position Independent Ireland’s Noel Thomas as the frontrunner in the Galway West by-election, with Fine Gael’s Seán Kyne close behind on first preferences amid a fragmented field of 17 contenders. Thomas has gained traction through emphasis on immigration and cost-of-living concerns, while Kyne draws on his prior Dáil experience and strong second-preference flows in the Irish Times/TG4 survey. Labour’s Helen Ogbu leads the scattered left vote, and smaller parties such as Sinn Féin, Social Democrats, and Fianna Fáil trail. With voting scheduled for 22 May, traders reflect the competitive dynamics and the potential for late transfers to decide the outcome in this single-seat contest.
A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
交易量
$47,329結束日期
2027-03-31市場開放時間
Feb 25, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling and candidate profiles position Independent Ireland’s Noel Thomas as the frontrunner in the Galway West by-election, with Fine Gael’s Seán Kyne close behind on first preferences amid a fragmented field of 17 contenders. Thomas has gained traction through emphasis on immigration and cost-of-living concerns, while Kyne draws on his prior Dáil experience and strong second-preference flows in the Irish Times/TG4 survey. Labour’s Helen Ogbu leads the scattered left vote, and smaller parties such as Sinn Féin, Social Democrats, and Fianna Fáil trail. With voting scheduled for 22 May, traders reflect the competitive dynamics and the potential for late transfers to decide the outcome in this single-seat contest.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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