**Trader sentiment for Atlanta's highest temperature on August 2 centers on the 86–89°F range (62% combined implied probability), reflecting model consensus for a day with widespread cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that will cap peak heating.** National Weather Service and private guidance indicate a moist, unstable airmass with southwesterly flow, producing afternoon convection that limits insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. This setup typically trims maximum temperatures 2–4°F below clear-sky climatology (historical early-August average high near 88–89°F). Key differentiating variables include the exact timing and coverage of storms: earlier or more widespread activity favors the 86–87°F bin, while delayed or isolated convection allows brief clearing that could push readings into the 88–89°F or low-90s range. Ensemble spread in guidance remains modest, keeping higher or lower bins at low probability. Updated model runs and NWS briefings on August 1–2 will provide the next resolution-critical data points.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月2日亞特蘭大最高溫度?
88-89°F 33%
86-87°F 30%
90-91°F 19%
84-85°F 11%
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
11%
86-87°F
30%
88-89°F
33%
90-91°F
19%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
1%
96°F或更高
1%
88-89°F 33%
86-87°F 30%
90-91°F 19%
84-85°F 11%
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
11%
86-87°F
30%
88-89°F
33%
90-91°F
19%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
1%
96°F或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader sentiment for Atlanta's highest temperature on August 2 centers on the 86–89°F range (62% combined implied probability), reflecting model consensus for a day with widespread cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that will cap peak heating.** National Weather Service and private guidance indicate a moist, unstable airmass with southwesterly flow, producing afternoon convection that limits insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. This setup typically trims maximum temperatures 2–4°F below clear-sky climatology (historical early-August average high near 88–89°F). Key differentiating variables include the exact timing and coverage of storms: earlier or more widespread activity favors the 86–87°F bin, while delayed or isolated convection allows brief clearing that could push readings into the 88–89°F or low-90s range. Ensemble spread in guidance remains modest, keeping higher or lower bins at low probability. Updated model runs and NWS briefings on August 1–2 will provide the next resolution-critical data points.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions