Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and regional analyses indicate Beijing's maximum temperature on August 3 will likely fall in the 32–34°C range, driven by typical early-August climatology of high humidity, monsoon moisture, and scattered thunderstorms that can cap daytime heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent late-July warmth across northern China has sustained elevated baseline temperatures, yet the narrow spread in market-implied odds reflects genuine uncertainty from diverging ensemble runs on precipitation timing and intensity. Urban heat-island effects and variable wind patterns further differentiate outcomes near these thresholds, with official monitoring expected to resolve the exact peak by evening local time.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月3日北京最高溫度？
8月3日北京最高溫度？
34°C 26%
33°C 26%
32°C 21%
35°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
29°C或以下
4%
30°C
3%
31°C
7%
32°C
21%
33°C
26%
34°C
26%
35°C
9%
36°C
3%
37°C
2%
38°C
2%
39°C或以上
<1%
34°C 26%
33°C 26%
32°C 21%
35°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
29°C或以下
$411 交易量
4%
30°C
$29 交易量
3%
31°C
$57 交易量
7%
32°C
$34 交易量
21%
33°C
$197 交易量
26%
34°C
$53 交易量
26%
35°C
$509 交易量
9%
36°C
$303 交易量
3%
37°C
$223 交易量
2%
38°C
$10 交易量
2%
39°C或以上
$21 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and regional analyses indicate Beijing's maximum temperature on August 3 will likely fall in the 32–34°C range, driven by typical early-August climatology of high humidity, monsoon moisture, and scattered thunderstorms that can cap daytime heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent late-July warmth across northern China has sustained elevated baseline temperatures, yet the narrow spread in market-implied odds reflects genuine uncertainty from diverging ensemble runs on precipitation timing and intensity. Urban heat-island effects and variable wind patterns further differentiate outcomes near these thresholds, with official monitoring expected to resolve the exact peak by evening local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$1,845結束日期
2026-08-03市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and regional analyses indicate Beijing's maximum temperature on August 3 will likely fall in the 32–34°C range, driven by typical early-August climatology of high humidity, monsoon moisture, and scattered thunderstorms that can cap daytime heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent late-July warmth across northern China has sustained elevated baseline temperatures, yet the narrow spread in market-implied odds reflects genuine uncertainty from diverging ensemble runs on precipitation timing and intensity. Urban heat-island effects and variable wind patterns further differentiate outcomes near these thresholds, with official monitoring expected to resolve the exact peak by evening local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,845結束日期
2026-08-03市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETForecast models from sources like AccuWeather and regional analyses indicate Beijing's maximum temperature on August 3 will likely fall in the 32–34°C range, driven by typical early-August climatology of high humidity, monsoon moisture, and scattered thunderstorms that can cap daytime heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent late-July warmth across northern China has sustained elevated baseline temperatures, yet the narrow spread in market-implied odds reflects genuine uncertainty from diverging ensemble runs on precipitation timing and intensity. Urban heat-island effects and variable wind patterns further differentiate outcomes near these thresholds, with official monitoring expected to resolve the exact peak by evening local time.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions