Trader sentiment for Cape Town’s July 10 maximum temperature clusters tightly around 17–18°C because these outcomes align with typical mid-winter climatology and short-range ensemble guidance. Average July highs hover near 16–17°C, with daily values commonly spanning 14–19°C per long-term records and 2026 outlooks. Subtle differences hinge on variables such as daytime cloud timing, wind strength, and boundary-layer mixing that routinely shift the peak by 1–2°C. Recent regional forecasts indicate cool, fine conditions with possible morning fog or light showers, keeping the outlook close to baseline without strong anomalies. This genuine short-term uncertainty in local forcing explains the near-even implied probabilities between the two leading buckets.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月10日開普敦最高溫度？
7月10日開普敦最高溫度？
17°C 46%
18°C 30%
16°C 20%
19°C 3.5%
最新
$20,800 交易量
最新
$20,800 交易量
2026-07-10
12°C或以下
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
20%
17°C
46%
18°C
30%
19°C
4%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C或以上
<1%
17°C 46%
18°C 30%
16°C 20%
19°C 3.5%
最新
$20,800 交易量
最新
$20,800 交易量
2026-07-10
12°C或以下
$490 交易量
<1%
13°C
$1,099 交易量
<1%
14°C
$1,174 交易量
1%
15°C
$1,032 交易量
3%
16°C
$3,940 交易量
20%
17°C
$9,001 交易量
46%
18°C
$1,298 交易量
30%
19°C
$962 交易量
4%
20°C
$921 交易量
1%
21°C
$416 交易量
<1%
22°C或以上
$466 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Cape Town’s July 10 maximum temperature clusters tightly around 17–18°C because these outcomes align with typical mid-winter climatology and short-range ensemble guidance. Average July highs hover near 16–17°C, with daily values commonly spanning 14–19°C per long-term records and 2026 outlooks. Subtle differences hinge on variables such as daytime cloud timing, wind strength, and boundary-layer mixing that routinely shift the peak by 1–2°C. Recent regional forecasts indicate cool, fine conditions with possible morning fog or light showers, keeping the outlook close to baseline without strong anomalies. This genuine short-term uncertainty in local forcing explains the near-even implied probabilities between the two leading buckets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$20,800結束日期
2026-07-10市場開放時間
Jul 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Cape Town’s July 10 maximum temperature clusters tightly around 17–18°C because these outcomes align with typical mid-winter climatology and short-range ensemble guidance. Average July highs hover near 16–17°C, with daily values commonly spanning 14–19°C per long-term records and 2026 outlooks. Subtle differences hinge on variables such as daytime cloud timing, wind strength, and boundary-layer mixing that routinely shift the peak by 1–2°C. Recent regional forecasts indicate cool, fine conditions with possible morning fog or light showers, keeping the outlook close to baseline without strong anomalies. This genuine short-term uncertainty in local forcing explains the near-even implied probabilities between the two leading buckets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$20,800結束日期
2026-07-10市場開放時間
Jul 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ETTrader sentiment for Cape Town’s July 10 maximum temperature clusters tightly around 17–18°C because these outcomes align with typical mid-winter climatology and short-range ensemble guidance. Average July highs hover near 16–17°C, with daily values commonly spanning 14–19°C per long-term records and 2026 outlooks. Subtle differences hinge on variables such as daytime cloud timing, wind strength, and boundary-layer mixing that routinely shift the peak by 1–2°C. Recent regional forecasts indicate cool, fine conditions with possible morning fog or light showers, keeping the outlook close to baseline without strong anomalies. This genuine short-term uncertainty in local forcing explains the near-even implied probabilities between the two leading buckets.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions