Trader consensus around 30–32°C for Chongqing's August 4 maximum reflects substantial uncertainty in short-range forecasts for this subtropical basin city, where typical early-August highs average near 33°C amid high humidity. Key differentiating factors include variable monsoon moisture and potential afternoon convection or cloud cover that could cap temperatures near 30–31°C versus clearer, more stable conditions allowing 32°C or higher. Official guidance from monitoring agencies emphasizes model spread in steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing over the next 48 hours, with urban heat-island effects adding local variability. New observational data and updated model runs ahead of the date will likely sharpen resolution criteria for this narrow temperature band.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月4日重慶氣溫最高？
8月4日重慶氣溫最高？
31°C 33%
30°C 30%
32°C 25%
33°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
27°C或以下
5%
28°C
5%
29°C
8%
30°C
30%
31°C
33%
32°C
25%
33°C
9%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C
2%
37°C或更高
1%
31°C 33%
30°C 30%
32°C 25%
33°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
27°C或以下
$37 交易量
5%
28°C
$3 交易量
5%
29°C
$11 交易量
8%
30°C
$8 交易量
30%
31°C
$14 交易量
33%
32°C
$3 交易量
25%
33°C
$3 交易量
9%
34°C
$15 交易量
2%
35°C
$21 交易量
1%
36°C
$20 交易量
2%
37°C或更高
$15 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 30–32°C for Chongqing's August 4 maximum reflects substantial uncertainty in short-range forecasts for this subtropical basin city, where typical early-August highs average near 33°C amid high humidity. Key differentiating factors include variable monsoon moisture and potential afternoon convection or cloud cover that could cap temperatures near 30–31°C versus clearer, more stable conditions allowing 32°C or higher. Official guidance from monitoring agencies emphasizes model spread in steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing over the next 48 hours, with urban heat-island effects adding local variability. New observational data and updated model runs ahead of the date will likely sharpen resolution criteria for this narrow temperature band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$149結束日期
2026-08-04市場開放時間
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 30–32°C for Chongqing's August 4 maximum reflects substantial uncertainty in short-range forecasts for this subtropical basin city, where typical early-August highs average near 33°C amid high humidity. Key differentiating factors include variable monsoon moisture and potential afternoon convection or cloud cover that could cap temperatures near 30–31°C versus clearer, more stable conditions allowing 32°C or higher. Official guidance from monitoring agencies emphasizes model spread in steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing over the next 48 hours, with urban heat-island effects adding local variability. New observational data and updated model runs ahead of the date will likely sharpen resolution criteria for this narrow temperature band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$149結束日期
2026-08-04市場開放時間
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETTrader consensus around 30–32°C for Chongqing's August 4 maximum reflects substantial uncertainty in short-range forecasts for this subtropical basin city, where typical early-August highs average near 33°C amid high humidity. Key differentiating factors include variable monsoon moisture and potential afternoon convection or cloud cover that could cap temperatures near 30–31°C versus clearer, more stable conditions allowing 32°C or higher. Official guidance from monitoring agencies emphasizes model spread in steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing over the next 48 hours, with urban heat-island effects adding local variability. New observational data and updated model runs ahead of the date will likely sharpen resolution criteria for this narrow temperature band.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions