Traders assign near-certainty to a highest temperature of 26 °C or higher in Jinan on August 20 because late-summer climatology across Shandong province routinely produces daytime maxima well above this threshold. Regional reanalysis data and long-term station records show August mean highs near 31 °C, with only rare intrusions of cooler northerly flow capable of suppressing readings. Current model guidance from the China Meteorological Administration indicates persistent warm, moist southerly flow under a subtropical high, supporting continued heat with minimal diurnal cooling. A realistic challenge would require an unusually strong cold front or measurement anomaly at the official Jinan station, both statistically uncommon in mid-August.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月20日濟南氣溫最高？
8月20日濟南氣溫最高？
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
16°C or below
$345 交易量
<1%
17°C
$325 交易量
<1%
18°C
$335 交易量
<1%
19°C
$356 交易量
<1%
20°C
$458 交易量
<1%
21°C
$435 交易量
<1%
22°C
$225 交易量
<1%
23°C
$260 交易量
<1%
24°C
$180 交易量
<1%
25°C
$165 交易量
<1%
26°C or higher
$1,031 交易量
100%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign near-certainty to a highest temperature of 26 °C or higher in Jinan on August 20 because late-summer climatology across Shandong province routinely produces daytime maxima well above this threshold. Regional reanalysis data and long-term station records show August mean highs near 31 °C, with only rare intrusions of cooler northerly flow capable of suppressing readings. Current model guidance from the China Meteorological Administration indicates persistent warm, moist southerly flow under a subtropical high, supporting continued heat with minimal diurnal cooling. A realistic challenge would require an unusually strong cold front or measurement anomaly at the official Jinan station, both statistically uncommon in mid-August.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$4,115結束日期
2026-08-20市場開放時間
Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign near-certainty to a highest temperature of 26 °C or higher in Jinan on August 20 because late-summer climatology across Shandong province routinely produces daytime maxima well above this threshold. Regional reanalysis data and long-term station records show August mean highs near 31 °C, with only rare intrusions of cooler northerly flow capable of suppressing readings. Current model guidance from the China Meteorological Administration indicates persistent warm, moist southerly flow under a subtropical high, supporting continued heat with minimal diurnal cooling. A realistic challenge would require an unusually strong cold front or measurement anomaly at the official Jinan station, both statistically uncommon in mid-August.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,115結束日期
2026-08-20市場開放時間
Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETTraders assign near-certainty to a highest temperature of 26 °C or higher in Jinan on August 20 because late-summer climatology across Shandong province routinely produces daytime maxima well above this threshold. Regional reanalysis data and long-term station records show August mean highs near 31 °C, with only rare intrusions of cooler northerly flow capable of suppressing readings. Current model guidance from the China Meteorological Administration indicates persistent warm, moist southerly flow under a subtropical high, supporting continued heat with minimal diurnal cooling. A realistic challenge would require an unusually strong cold front or measurement anomaly at the official Jinan station, both statistically uncommon in mid-August.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions