PAGASA's latest outlook for July 10 points to a 30°C high in Manila amid widespread cloud cover and a 100% chance of rain tied to the Southwest Monsoon, moderating daytime heating below the typical July average near 31°C. Persistent easterly or monsoon flows promote convective activity that limits solar insolation and caps maxima, while any brief clearing or reduced rainfall could allow temperatures to reach 31°C. With outcomes clustered tightly around 30–31°C, traders weigh short-term model runs and monsoon intensity against historical variability in peak readings measured at official stations. Updated PAGASA briefings and refined numerical weather predictions through July 9 will likely refine these probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月10日馬尼拉的最高溫度?
31°C 43%
30°C 35%
32°C 24%
33°C 2.5%
$21,262 交易量
$21,262 交易量
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
35%
31°C
43%
32°C
24%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C或以上
<1%
31°C 43%
30°C 35%
32°C 24%
33°C 2.5%
$21,262 交易量
$21,262 交易量
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
35%
31°C
43%
32°C
24%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
PAGASA's latest outlook for July 10 points to a 30°C high in Manila amid widespread cloud cover and a 100% chance of rain tied to the Southwest Monsoon, moderating daytime heating below the typical July average near 31°C. Persistent easterly or monsoon flows promote convective activity that limits solar insolation and caps maxima, while any brief clearing or reduced rainfall could allow temperatures to reach 31°C. With outcomes clustered tightly around 30–31°C, traders weigh short-term model runs and monsoon intensity against historical variability in peak readings measured at official stations. Updated PAGASA briefings and refined numerical weather predictions through July 9 will likely refine these probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions