Latest forecast models from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate Mexico City daytime highs on August 1 likely ranging 24–27°C, with trader consensus clustering around 26–27°C due to partly cloudy conditions and moderate humidity allowing greater solar heating at the city's 2,240 m elevation. Afternoon convection typical of the rainy season could introduce cooling via cloud cover or showers, explaining the tight spread between 25°C and 27°C outcomes and lower probabilities for extremes. Historical August averages near 24–26°C provide baseline context, while short-term model runs and local observations will refine resolution thresholds in coming hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月1日墨西哥城的最高溫度？
8月1日墨西哥城的最高溫度？
27°C 45%
26°C 29%
25°C 12%
28°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-01
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
12%
26°C
29%
27°C
45%
28°C
6%
29°C或以上
1%
27°C 45%
26°C 29%
25°C 12%
28°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-01
19°C或以下
$250 交易量
<1%
20°C
$241 交易量
<1%
21°C
$179 交易量
<1%
22°C
$179 交易量
<1%
23°C
$179 交易量
1%
24°C
$248 交易量
4%
25°C
$509 交易量
12%
26°C
$2,207 交易量
29%
27°C
$3,284 交易量
45%
28°C
$265 交易量
6%
29°C或以上
$447 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate Mexico City daytime highs on August 1 likely ranging 24–27°C, with trader consensus clustering around 26–27°C due to partly cloudy conditions and moderate humidity allowing greater solar heating at the city's 2,240 m elevation. Afternoon convection typical of the rainy season could introduce cooling via cloud cover or showers, explaining the tight spread between 25°C and 27°C outcomes and lower probabilities for extremes. Historical August averages near 24–26°C provide baseline context, while short-term model runs and local observations will refine resolution thresholds in coming hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 30, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$7,990結束日期
2026-08-01市場開放時間
Jul 30, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate Mexico City daytime highs on August 1 likely ranging 24–27°C, with trader consensus clustering around 26–27°C due to partly cloudy conditions and moderate humidity allowing greater solar heating at the city's 2,240 m elevation. Afternoon convection typical of the rainy season could introduce cooling via cloud cover or showers, explaining the tight spread between 25°C and 27°C outcomes and lower probabilities for extremes. Historical August averages near 24–26°C provide baseline context, while short-term model runs and local observations will refine resolution thresholds in coming hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,990結束日期
2026-08-01市場開放時間
Jul 30, 2026, 9:03 PM ETLatest forecast models from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate Mexico City daytime highs on August 1 likely ranging 24–27°C, with trader consensus clustering around 26–27°C due to partly cloudy conditions and moderate humidity allowing greater solar heating at the city's 2,240 m elevation. Afternoon convection typical of the rainy season could introduce cooling via cloud cover or showers, explaining the tight spread between 25°C and 27°C outcomes and lower probabilities for extremes. Historical August averages near 24–26°C provide baseline context, while short-term model runs and local observations will refine resolution thresholds in coming hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions