National Weather Service forecasts project a Miami high near 93°F on July 12 under mostly sunny subtropical conditions, with light southeast winds and minimal organized convection. Afternoon sea-breeze convergence along the coast remains the key variable that could initiate scattered showers or clouds, potentially capping the peak one to two degrees below model guidance and supporting the close 92–93°F versus 94–95°F market split. Persistent above-normal sea-surface temperatures and recent regional heat provide modest upward pressure, yet typical July climatology (average high near 89–90°F) and historical sea-breeze suppression keep higher brackets at low implied odds. Updated model runs and NHC marine guidance expected overnight will refine the final range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月12日邁阿密的最高溫度?
94-95°F 46%
92-93°F 44%
90-91°F 11%
96-97°F 3.4%
81°F或以下
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
11%
92-93°F
44%
94-95°F
46%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
<1%
華氏100度或更高
<1%
94-95°F 46%
92-93°F 44%
90-91°F 11%
96-97°F 3.4%
81°F或以下
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
11%
92-93°F
44%
94-95°F
46%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
<1%
華氏100度或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
National Weather Service forecasts project a Miami high near 93°F on July 12 under mostly sunny subtropical conditions, with light southeast winds and minimal organized convection. Afternoon sea-breeze convergence along the coast remains the key variable that could initiate scattered showers or clouds, potentially capping the peak one to two degrees below model guidance and supporting the close 92–93°F versus 94–95°F market split. Persistent above-normal sea-surface temperatures and recent regional heat provide modest upward pressure, yet typical July climatology (average high near 89–90°F) and historical sea-breeze suppression keep higher brackets at low implied odds. Updated model runs and NHC marine guidance expected overnight will refine the final range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions