Current forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Italian meteorological services point to maximum temperatures in Milan around 33–36°C on August 4, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting toward 34°C or below. A persistent subtropical anticyclone continues advecting warm air masses northward, sustaining elevated readings across the Po Valley following June's record warmth for western Europe. Ensemble models show limited spread for this short-range period, though slight cooling from Atlantic influences or localized thunderstorms could cap peaks below 35°C. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context for the current anomaly, with traders monitoring the next high-resolution model runs for any shifts in the 48-hour window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月4日米蘭的最高溫度？
8月4日米蘭的最高溫度？
34°C或以下 44%
35°C 30%
36°C 25%
37°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
34°C或以下
44%
35°C
30%
36°C
25%
37°C
5%
38°C
2%
39°C
<1%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C或以上
<1%
34°C或以下 44%
35°C 30%
36°C 25%
37°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
34°C或以下
$175 交易量
44%
35°C
$54 交易量
30%
36°C
$85 交易量
25%
37°C
$22 交易量
5%
38°C
$33 交易量
2%
39°C
$30 交易量
<1%
40°C
$40 交易量
1%
41°C
$20 交易量
<1%
42°C
$10 交易量
<1%
43°C
$10 交易量
<1%
44°C或以上
$10 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Italian meteorological services point to maximum temperatures in Milan around 33–36°C on August 4, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting toward 34°C or below. A persistent subtropical anticyclone continues advecting warm air masses northward, sustaining elevated readings across the Po Valley following June's record warmth for western Europe. Ensemble models show limited spread for this short-range period, though slight cooling from Atlantic influences or localized thunderstorms could cap peaks below 35°C. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context for the current anomaly, with traders monitoring the next high-resolution model runs for any shifts in the 48-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$489結束日期
2026-08-04市場開放時間
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Italian meteorological services point to maximum temperatures in Milan around 33–36°C on August 4, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting toward 34°C or below. A persistent subtropical anticyclone continues advecting warm air masses northward, sustaining elevated readings across the Po Valley following June's record warmth for western Europe. Ensemble models show limited spread for this short-range period, though slight cooling from Atlantic influences or localized thunderstorms could cap peaks below 35°C. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context for the current anomaly, with traders monitoring the next high-resolution model runs for any shifts in the 48-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$489結束日期
2026-08-04市場開放時間
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETCurrent forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Italian meteorological services point to maximum temperatures in Milan around 33–36°C on August 4, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting toward 34°C or below. A persistent subtropical anticyclone continues advecting warm air masses northward, sustaining elevated readings across the Po Valley following June's record warmth for western Europe. Ensemble models show limited spread for this short-range period, though slight cooling from Atlantic influences or localized thunderstorms could cap peaks below 35°C. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context for the current anomaly, with traders monitoring the next high-resolution model runs for any shifts in the 48-hour window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions