Trader consensus favoring 32–33°C for Panama City’s August 2 maximum stems from wet-season convection patterns, where ITCZ-driven afternoon thunderstorms and humidity typically cap diurnal heating near the 29–30°C climatological average yet permit brief spikes under partly cloudy gaps. Ensemble guidance from models like GFS and ECMWF shows modest spread tied to cloud-cover timing and precipitation intensity, with clearer intervals or delayed storms supporting the slight edge for 33°C over 32°C. Historical August data indicate extremes above 34°C remain rare without anomalous subsidence, while official monitoring highlights ongoing high humidity and scattered showers as the dominant moderating influences ahead of the next forecast update.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月2日巴拿馬城的最高溫度?
33°C 41%
32°C 37%
31°C 17%
30°C 4%
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
17%
32°C
37%
33°C
41%
34°C
4%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C或以上
1%
33°C 41%
32°C 37%
31°C 17%
30°C 4%
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
17%
32°C
37%
33°C
41%
34°C
4%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus favoring 32–33°C for Panama City’s August 2 maximum stems from wet-season convection patterns, where ITCZ-driven afternoon thunderstorms and humidity typically cap diurnal heating near the 29–30°C climatological average yet permit brief spikes under partly cloudy gaps. Ensemble guidance from models like GFS and ECMWF shows modest spread tied to cloud-cover timing and precipitation intensity, with clearer intervals or delayed storms supporting the slight edge for 33°C over 32°C. Historical August data indicate extremes above 34°C remain rare without anomalous subsidence, while official monitoring highlights ongoing high humidity and scattered showers as the dominant moderating influences ahead of the next forecast update.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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