Current forecast models for Panama City, Panama, indicate afternoon highs on July 12 clustered near 30–31°C amid the peak rainy season and Intertropical Convergence Zone activity, which promotes widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and limited solar heating. This tight clustering around typical July climatology—where daily maxima average 30–32°C—explains why market-implied odds place 30°C and 31°C nearly even at the top, with modest probability on 29°C or 32°C reflecting minor differences in model timing of convection or moisture. Official guidance from regional analyses shows no strong anomalous warming or clear-sky periods that would push extremes higher, though small forecast adjustments in wind patterns or rainfall intensity could shift the exact peak by 1°C before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月12日巴拿馬城的最高溫度?
31°C 36%
30°C 27%
32°C 16%
29°C 11%
26°C 或以下
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
11%
30°C
27%
31°C
36%
32°C
16%
33°C
3%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C或以上
<1%
31°C 36%
30°C 27%
32°C 16%
29°C 11%
26°C 或以下
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
11%
30°C
27%
31°C
36%
32°C
16%
33°C
3%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models for Panama City, Panama, indicate afternoon highs on July 12 clustered near 30–31°C amid the peak rainy season and Intertropical Convergence Zone activity, which promotes widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and limited solar heating. This tight clustering around typical July climatology—where daily maxima average 30–32°C—explains why market-implied odds place 30°C and 31°C nearly even at the top, with modest probability on 29°C or 32°C reflecting minor differences in model timing of convection or moisture. Official guidance from regional analyses shows no strong anomalous warming or clear-sky periods that would push extremes higher, though small forecast adjustments in wind patterns or rainfall intensity could shift the exact peak by 1°C before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions