Current short-term forecast models show light rain and persistent cloud cover over Qingdao on August 10, limiting daytime insolation and promoting evaporative cooling that caps maximum temperatures near 31°C. High humidity from the East Asian summer monsoon and potential thunderstorm activity further suppress peak heating by enhancing latent heat release and reducing surface solar absorption. Ensemble spreads in guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration reflect modest uncertainty in exact cloud timing and intensity, keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered between 30–33°C. Sea-breeze effects from the Yellow Sea add localized moderation, consistent with typical late-summer patterns where daily highs rarely exceed 34°C without clear skies. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine these variables for traders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月10日青島氣溫最高？
8月10日青島氣溫最高？
31°C 33%
32°C 25%
30°C 18%
33°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
27°C或以下
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
10%
30°C
18%
31°C
33%
32°C
25%
33°C
13%
34°C
5%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C或以上
<1%
31°C 33%
32°C 25%
30°C 18%
33°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
27°C或以下
$55 交易量
1%
28°C
$22 交易量
2%
29°C
$99 交易量
10%
30°C
$181 交易量
18%
31°C
$480 交易量
33%
32°C
$164 交易量
25%
33°C
$110 交易量
13%
34°C
$137 交易量
5%
35°C
$273 交易量
2%
36°C
$876 交易量
1%
37°C或以上
$2,303 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecast models show light rain and persistent cloud cover over Qingdao on August 10, limiting daytime insolation and promoting evaporative cooling that caps maximum temperatures near 31°C. High humidity from the East Asian summer monsoon and potential thunderstorm activity further suppress peak heating by enhancing latent heat release and reducing surface solar absorption. Ensemble spreads in guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration reflect modest uncertainty in exact cloud timing and intensity, keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered between 30–33°C. Sea-breeze effects from the Yellow Sea add localized moderation, consistent with typical late-summer patterns where daily highs rarely exceed 34°C without clear skies. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine these variables for traders.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 8, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$4,698結束日期
2026-08-10市場開放時間
Aug 8, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecast models show light rain and persistent cloud cover over Qingdao on August 10, limiting daytime insolation and promoting evaporative cooling that caps maximum temperatures near 31°C. High humidity from the East Asian summer monsoon and potential thunderstorm activity further suppress peak heating by enhancing latent heat release and reducing surface solar absorption. Ensemble spreads in guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration reflect modest uncertainty in exact cloud timing and intensity, keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered between 30–33°C. Sea-breeze effects from the Yellow Sea add localized moderation, consistent with typical late-summer patterns where daily highs rarely exceed 34°C without clear skies. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine these variables for traders.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,698結束日期
2026-08-10市場開放時間
Aug 8, 2026, 12:04 AM ETCurrent short-term forecast models show light rain and persistent cloud cover over Qingdao on August 10, limiting daytime insolation and promoting evaporative cooling that caps maximum temperatures near 31°C. High humidity from the East Asian summer monsoon and potential thunderstorm activity further suppress peak heating by enhancing latent heat release and reducing surface solar absorption. Ensemble spreads in guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration reflect modest uncertainty in exact cloud timing and intensity, keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered between 30–33°C. Sea-breeze effects from the Yellow Sea add localized moderation, consistent with typical late-summer patterns where daily highs rarely exceed 34°C without clear skies. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine these variables for traders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions