National Weather Service forecasts call for sunny conditions and a high near 75°F in San Francisco on August 1, aligning with the market's leading 74-75°F bin. Persistent marine-layer influence and onshore westerly winds typically cap coastal maxima in the mid-70s during early August, though reduced fog depth or a temporary offshore flow shift could push readings into the upper 70s. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability, yet San Francisco's sharp microclimates introduce resolution uncertainty around exact peak readings at official stations. The spread across bins reflects traders weighting these boundary-layer factors against climatological norms near 68-70°F.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於舊金山8月1日的最高溫度？
舊金山8月1日的最高溫度？
74-75°F 36%
72-73°F 29%
76-77°F 21%
70-71°F 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-01
華氏63度或以下
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
29%
74-75°F
36%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
1%
82°F或更高
<1%
74-75°F 36%
72-73°F 29%
76-77°F 21%
70-71°F 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-01
華氏63度或以下
$774 交易量
<1%
64-65°F
$15 交易量
1%
66-67°F
$44 交易量
1%
68-69°F
$65 交易量
5%
70-71°F
$36 交易量
11%
72-73°F
$150 交易量
29%
74-75°F
$146 交易量
36%
76-77°F
$352 交易量
21%
78-79°F
$35 交易量
5%
80-81°F
$42 交易量
1%
82°F或更高
$51 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts call for sunny conditions and a high near 75°F in San Francisco on August 1, aligning with the market's leading 74-75°F bin. Persistent marine-layer influence and onshore westerly winds typically cap coastal maxima in the mid-70s during early August, though reduced fog depth or a temporary offshore flow shift could push readings into the upper 70s. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability, yet San Francisco's sharp microclimates introduce resolution uncertainty around exact peak readings at official stations. The spread across bins reflects traders weighting these boundary-layer factors against climatological norms near 68-70°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 30, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$1,709結束日期
2026-08-01市場開放時間
Jul 30, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts call for sunny conditions and a high near 75°F in San Francisco on August 1, aligning with the market's leading 74-75°F bin. Persistent marine-layer influence and onshore westerly winds typically cap coastal maxima in the mid-70s during early August, though reduced fog depth or a temporary offshore flow shift could push readings into the upper 70s. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability, yet San Francisco's sharp microclimates introduce resolution uncertainty around exact peak readings at official stations. The spread across bins reflects traders weighting these boundary-layer factors against climatological norms near 68-70°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,709結束日期
2026-08-01市場開放時間
Jul 30, 2026, 9:03 PM ETNational Weather Service forecasts call for sunny conditions and a high near 75°F in San Francisco on August 1, aligning with the market's leading 74-75°F bin. Persistent marine-layer influence and onshore westerly winds typically cap coastal maxima in the mid-70s during early August, though reduced fog depth or a temporary offshore flow shift could push readings into the upper 70s. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability, yet San Francisco's sharp microclimates introduce resolution uncertainty around exact peak readings at official stations. The spread across bins reflects traders weighting these boundary-layer factors against climatological norms near 68-70°F.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions