Recent NWS model guidance and ensemble runs place Seattle’s August 2 high temperature most likely in the 70–73 °F range, reflecting the influence of a developing El Niño pattern that has favored warmer-than-normal early-August conditions across the Pacific Northwest. Onshore marine flow and variable low-level stratus are the key variables separating the closely matched 70–71 °F and 72–73 °F outcomes, as modest differences in wind direction or timing of afternoon clearing can shift the daily maximum by 1–3 °F. Historical climatology shows early-August highs averaging near 76 °F, yet persistent marine air this season has kept readings several degrees cooler, sustaining trader focus on the next 12–18 hours of observational data and updated short-range forecasts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月2日西雅圖的最高溫度？
8月2日西雅圖的最高溫度？
70-71°F 37%
72-73°F 29%
68-69°F 25%
66-67°F 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
63°F or below
1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
8%
68-69°F
25%
70-71°F
37%
72-73°F
29%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 37%
72-73°F 29%
68-69°F 25%
66-67°F 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
63°F or below
$70 交易量
1%
64-65°F
$142 交易量
2%
66-67°F
$84 交易量
8%
68-69°F
$331 交易量
25%
70-71°F
$170 交易量
37%
72-73°F
$840 交易量
29%
74-75°F
$473 交易量
4%
76-77°F
$49 交易量
2%
78-79°F
$90 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$79 交易量
<1%
82°F or higher
$112 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent NWS model guidance and ensemble runs place Seattle’s August 2 high temperature most likely in the 70–73 °F range, reflecting the influence of a developing El Niño pattern that has favored warmer-than-normal early-August conditions across the Pacific Northwest. Onshore marine flow and variable low-level stratus are the key variables separating the closely matched 70–71 °F and 72–73 °F outcomes, as modest differences in wind direction or timing of afternoon clearing can shift the daily maximum by 1–3 °F. Historical climatology shows early-August highs averaging near 76 °F, yet persistent marine air this season has kept readings several degrees cooler, sustaining trader focus on the next 12–18 hours of observational data and updated short-range forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$2,439結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent NWS model guidance and ensemble runs place Seattle’s August 2 high temperature most likely in the 70–73 °F range, reflecting the influence of a developing El Niño pattern that has favored warmer-than-normal early-August conditions across the Pacific Northwest. Onshore marine flow and variable low-level stratus are the key variables separating the closely matched 70–71 °F and 72–73 °F outcomes, as modest differences in wind direction or timing of afternoon clearing can shift the daily maximum by 1–3 °F. Historical climatology shows early-August highs averaging near 76 °F, yet persistent marine air this season has kept readings several degrees cooler, sustaining trader focus on the next 12–18 hours of observational data and updated short-range forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,439結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ETRecent NWS model guidance and ensemble runs place Seattle’s August 2 high temperature most likely in the 70–73 °F range, reflecting the influence of a developing El Niño pattern that has favored warmer-than-normal early-August conditions across the Pacific Northwest. Onshore marine flow and variable low-level stratus are the key variables separating the closely matched 70–71 °F and 72–73 °F outcomes, as modest differences in wind direction or timing of afternoon clearing can shift the daily maximum by 1–3 °F. Historical climatology shows early-August highs averaging near 76 °F, yet persistent marine air this season has kept readings several degrees cooler, sustaining trader focus on the next 12–18 hours of observational data and updated short-range forecasts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions