Singapore’s equatorial climate and southeast monsoon flow typically produce afternoon thundery showers that limit daytime maxima near the long-term August average of 31°C through convective cooling and cloud cover. Recent National Environment Agency guidance for drier conditions over the coming fortnight has shifted expectations upward, with official forecasts now centering daily highs at 33–34°C. Short-range model consensus for August 4 points to similar values, though scattered convection and southeast winds could still restrain peaks at or below 32°C. These dynamics explain the market’s tight clustering around 32°C and 33°C as the most probable outcomes, reflecting traders’ assessment of the narrow range between enhanced solar heating and routine tropical thunderstorm activity.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於新加坡8月4日的最高溫度?
32°C 50%
33°C 39%
31°C 9%
34°C 4%
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
9%
32°C
50%
33°C
39%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C或以上
<1%
32°C 50%
33°C 39%
31°C 9%
34°C 4%
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
9%
32°C
50%
33°C
39%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Singapore’s equatorial climate and southeast monsoon flow typically produce afternoon thundery showers that limit daytime maxima near the long-term August average of 31°C through convective cooling and cloud cover. Recent National Environment Agency guidance for drier conditions over the coming fortnight has shifted expectations upward, with official forecasts now centering daily highs at 33–34°C. Short-range model consensus for August 4 points to similar values, though scattered convection and southeast winds could still restrain peaks at or below 32°C. These dynamics explain the market’s tight clustering around 32°C and 33°C as the most probable outcomes, reflecting traders’ assessment of the narrow range between enhanced solar heating and routine tropical thunderstorm activity.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions