Singapore's tropical climate under southwest monsoon conditions typically produces daily highs of 31–32°C in early August, with thundery showers often capping afternoon peaks. El Niño development forecast for the second half of 2026 is expected to bring warmer and drier tendencies through October, supporting the market's leading 32°C outcome at 46.5% implied probability alongside elevated chances for 33°C. Official outlooks from Singapore's NEA indicate maximum temperatures most often between 32–34°C, while short-range models show showers as the main variable that could suppress readings to 31°C. Traders appear to weigh these baseline climatological factors and emerging seasonal signals against the narrow two-day forecast window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於新加坡8月3日的最高溫度?
32°C 47%
31°C 22%
33°C 20%
30°C 7%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
7%
31°C
22%
32°C
47%
33°C
20%
34°C or higher
7%
32°C 47%
31°C 22%
33°C 20%
30°C 7%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
7%
31°C
22%
32°C
47%
33°C
20%
34°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Singapore's tropical climate under southwest monsoon conditions typically produces daily highs of 31–32°C in early August, with thundery showers often capping afternoon peaks. El Niño development forecast for the second half of 2026 is expected to bring warmer and drier tendencies through October, supporting the market's leading 32°C outcome at 46.5% implied probability alongside elevated chances for 33°C. Official outlooks from Singapore's NEA indicate maximum temperatures most often between 32–34°C, while short-range models show showers as the main variable that could suppress readings to 31°C. Traders appear to weigh these baseline climatological factors and emerging seasonal signals against the narrow two-day forecast window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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